Why the Reece share price could soon be trading at a higher premium

The Reece Ltd (ASX: REH) share price has dropped over 20% from its all-time high. Could it soon go higher?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Reece Ltd (ASX: REH) share price has dropped over 20% from its all-time high of $12.61. Currently, the Reece share price trades at $10.03 which could be an opportunity to accumulate.

a woman

Reece's share price dropped as a result of the market sentiment

When the charts for Reece and All Ordinaries (ASX: XAO) are compared, the obvious pattern of a weak third and fourth quarter for 2018 is evident. With macroeconomic issues such as the trade war and potential interest rate hikes, optimism in the markets was low. As a result, the Reece share price has now dropped to a point where value can be found.

From Reece's 2019 half-year results, sales revenue, normalised EBITDA and EBIT reported increases of 104%, 45%, and 25% respectively. Although net profit was down 7.6%, this was primarily due to the finance costs from currencies.

Such an issue shouldn't be overly concerning to Reece investors given its operating profit remains high and continues to grow. The cash flow statement also showed strong organic growth through an increase of 87% in receipts from customers. As a result of this performance, dividends remain at current levels.

In 2018 MORSCO, the leading distributor of plumbing, waterworks, and HVAC in the US was acquired by Reece in a $1.9 billion buyout. This one-off transaction had a negative effect on its statutory NPAT, but Reece has reported that MORSCO is performing to expectations.

Outlook

Current valuation has Reece trading at 24 times earnings which is in line with the industry trading at 21 times earnings. This is reasonable as Reece expects the acquisition of MORSCO to boost its FY2019 earnings per share by 5 to 9 cents. This means investors can expect to see between an 11% to 20% increase in its earnings per share. Provided this forecast is met, Reece's share price deserves to trade at a premium to the industry.

Future outlook for Reece is optimistic with its New Zealand presence continuing to strengthen and MORSCO having the potential to deliver over $3 billion in sales from the US. Additionally, Reece has increased its cash holdings which can be used for future acquisitions.

Foolish takeaway

Reece provides investors with diversified growth at a reasonable valuation. Despite the downturn of the domestic housing market, Reece has shown that it's still capable of growing its earnings under such conditions. If the MORSCO acquisition meets expectations, the Reece share price may start trading at a much higher premium.

Motley Fool contributor Elton Wang has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A woman rugged up in winter woollies and a beanie sits frozen at her computer.
Capital Raising

NextDC rally comes to a halt. Here's what just dropped

NextDC enters a trading halt after gaining 10% last week.

Read more »

A man sitting at a computer is blown away by what he's seeing on the screen, hair and tie whooshing back as he screams argh in panic.
Share Market News

These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares

Let's see which shares short sellers are targeting this week.

Read more »

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Here's what to expect on the local market today.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Opinions

If I had $10,000, this is the ASX stock I'd buy right now

WiseTech’s pullback may offer a rare entry into a global software leader.

Read more »

A man with a beard and wearing dark sunglasses and a beanie head covering raises a fist in happy celebration as he sits at is computer in a home environment.
Share Market News

ASX 200 tech shares rocket 13% as long-awaited sector rebound accelerates

A strong technology sector turnaround in the Australian and US markets began on 31 March.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering their face.
Broker Notes

6 ASX 200 shares downgraded by the experts this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on six ASX 200 shares, including PLS Group and Westpac this week.

Read more »