Alumina share price jumps on strong profit despite missing estimates

The Alumina Limited (ASX: AWC) share price has jumped higher in early trade but could fall today after the company missed lowest estimates for its full-year earnings.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Alumina Limited (ASX: AWC) share price jumped 2.57% higher to $2.79 in early trade despite the company missing lowest estimates for its full-year earnings.

Unpacking Alumina's results

Alumina reported an 87% increase on prior corresponding period (pcp) in statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) to $635.4 million in the full-year, missing estimates of ~$690 million by a significant margin.

On an adjusted basis, the company's $689.9 million NPAT was more in line with expectations as management cited the tight Western alumina market following "severe disruptions in 2018". The company has been buoyed by a high average realised alumina price (up 33% on 2017 numbers) as the world's largest Alunorte mine in Brazil remains out of action.

The company's net receipts from its joint venture Alcoa World Alumina & Chemicals (AWAC) rose 158% on pcp to US$678.2 million for the year. The company's free cash flow rose 172% on pcp to US$662.1 million while the balance sheet remains steady with net assets of US$2,135.8 million.

In a big plus for shareholders, management has confirmed Alumina as a top dividend stock on the ASX by increasing the interim dividend by 105% to a fully-franked 8.6 cents per share (cps). This includes expected receipts of US$193.6 million of net distributions from AWAC entities which has been factored into the final dividend.

This saw the company pay a final dividend of 14.1 cents per share fully-franked dividend (up from 9.3 cps in FY17) which translates to a juicy 11.5% dividend yield on yesterday's closing price of $2.72 per share.

Management cited ongoing US-China trade tensions as affecting sentiment on aluminium despite higher expected demand growth in China from electric vehicles, high-speed rail and growing exports of high-value products.

Foolish takeaway

While the year-on-year numbers seem impressive from Alumina, I would still expect the share price could take a bit of a beating. With the Alunorte mine out of production, I think many in the market (including myself) thought we'd see a strong full-year result by the company supported by higher prices.

The Alumina share price is up 22.52% for the year but I think we could see some cooling off on the ASX today after missing earnings estimates.

For those not interested in Alumina's juicy dividend, I'd suggest checking out these top growth shares that have been tipped as market beaters.

Motley Fool contributor Lachlan Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Let's also take a look at what the various ASX sectors were doing this Wednesday.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A young women pumps her fists in excitement after seeing some good news on her laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Argosy Minerals, Immutep, Pointsbet, and Regis Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are having a strong session on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Man looking at his grocery receipt, symbolising inflation.
Share Market News

Why the ASX 200 just crumbled on today's inflation print

ASX 200 investors are hitting the sell button following the latest Australian inflation news.

Read more »

man grimaces next to falling stock graph
Share Fallers

Why did this ASX 100 stock just crash 11%?

Cleanaway shares have been on a crazy roller-coaster over the past 24 hours.

Read more »

a man in a british union jack T shirt hurdles high into the air with london bridge visible in the background.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Nick Scali shares halted amid $60m capital raising and UK expansion news

This furniture retailer has its eyes on the UK furniture market.

Read more »