Why the NAB share price just hit a 52-week low

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX:NAB) share price could be pointing to more falls in Australian house prices.

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The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price hit a new 52-week low of $22.76 today as sentiment turns sour amid a ballooning list of worries both home and abroad.

In Australia investors are worried about rising risk and compliance costs for the banks as a result of recommendations from the Royal Commission, the effect of falling house prices on banks' balance sheets, and rising wholesale funding costs crimping the banks' net interest margins, which are a key measure of profitability.

If that wasn't enough investors overseas are worried about the potential for a recession in the US as the Fed lifts interest rates, while the US continues to add to its debt pile via a huge trade deficit with China in addition to other negative ongoing fiscal imbalances.

Investors in the NAB, Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) can probably expect sideways share price movements and decent dividends as a best case scenario in 2019.

However, if house price falls worsen we could see more NAB share price falls ahead.

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of National Australia Bank Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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