Why I think the Duxton Water Ltd (ASX:D2O) share price is a buy

Here's why I think the Duxton Water Ltd (ASX:D2O) share price is a buy.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

The Duxton Water Ltd (ASX: D2O) share price is up over 1% today after reporting its monthly update for October 2018.

Duxton Water is the only pure water entitlement business in Australia. Its objective is to generate income from leasing out water entitlements and also benefit from long-term growth of the water entitlement value.

The company has returned 28.15% for shareholders over the past year through net asset value (NAV) per share increases and the payment of dividends. Over the past month its NAV increased by 0.22% despite the dilutionary effect of issuing an additional 7.5 million shares.

Duxton Water said that dry and hot conditions persisted throughout October with New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia recording their third, fifth and seventh highest mean temperatures on record, whilst also experiencing rainfall 9% below the mean across the Murray Darling Basin.

We are now entering the peak irrigation season, Duxton Water said it is well positioned with its high security entitlements and its positioning at the start of the year.

Water prices have continued to increase due to the limited rainfall, irrigators have had to irrigate earlier and in greater quantities. I am sorry for the plight of regional farmers, and have personally donated to those causes, however Duxton Water appears to be an excellent way to profit from the conditions.

Duxton Water said that its earnings per share (EPS), excluding capital gain, is 6.01 cents, which is 1.56 cents for the June 2018 half-year and 4.45 cents up to October 2018. This suggests the trailing dividend is comfortably sustainable, hopefully it will lead to additional slow-and-steady increases.

Foolish takeaway

With an acquisition pipeline of $23.8 million of water entitlements and a capital raising ongoing to fund those purchases, Duxton Water seems to be a good way to indirectly profit from the drier conditions and the growing demand for Australian agriculture. However, a wet year would likely be a negative to water prices.

It's currently trading with a discount of 4% to the NAV, which isn't huge but it's better to buy shares at a discount to their underlying value than a premium. If Duxton Water wasn't already a sizeable part of my portfolio, I'd be comfortable buying some shares at the current price for the long-term as it could produce good uncorrelated returns compared to the ASX.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns shares of DUXTON FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares Macquarie thinks will return nearly 30%

These two companies could be worth a closer look.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett says these ASX 300 shares are buys

The broker is feeling bullish about these shares right now.

Read more »

Two happy and excited friends in euphoria holding a smartphone, after winning in a bet.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares upgraded by Morgans to buy ratings

Let's see why the broker has turned positive on these shares.

Read more »

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a disappointing start to the trading week.

Read more »

Successful group of people applauding in a business meeting and looking very happy.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

Wooden blocks spelling rebound with coins on top.
Broker Notes

Can Life360 shares recover from the AI fuelled sell-off?

A leading expert looks into the AI-driven pressure hitting Life360 shares.

Read more »

An engineer takes a break on a staircase and looks out over a huge open pit coal mine as the sun rises in the background.
Broker Notes

Up 49% in a year, should you buy BHP shares for their 'stability and income'?

A leading expert delivers his forecast for BHP’s fast-rising shares.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Pro Medicus, Life360, A2 Milk shares

Expert analysts reveal their latest recommendations on 3 ASX 200 stocks.

Read more »