What made the Rio Tinto share price slide 9% in February?

Rio Tinto's result didn't impress investors.

Key points
  • Rio Tinto shares went backwards in February
  • The company's full-year report showed profit declined in 2022, with higher costs expected in 2023
  • Iron ore shipments are likely to increase in 2023, though the company's dividend payout ratio could decrease

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has not performed as well in February as investors would have liked. In fact, with only a couple of hours left of trading for the month, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining share has fallen around 9% since the start of February.

That's around three times the fall of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), which has shed almost 3% over the same period.

While changes to the iron ore price can have a major impact on the business, Rio Tinto shares have seen most of the falls occur after the miner reported its result.

Let's have a look at some of the highlights from the report for the 12 months to 31 December 2022.

Young boy wearing a red hard hat frowning with his hands on his head.

Image source: Getty Images

Earnings recap

Rio Tinto reported that operating cash flow dropped 36% to US$16.1 billion. Free cash flow declined 49% to US$9 billion. Net profit after tax (NPAT) dropped 41% to US$12.4 billion.

The underlying earnings per share (EPS) fell by 38% to US$8.20, so the ordinary dividend per share was cut by 38% to US$4.92.

With no special dividend paid for the 2022 financial year, the total dividend per share was cut by 53%.

The business finished 2022 with net debt of US$4.2 billion, a reversal of the US$1.6 billion of net cash it had at the end of 2021. It did spend US$3.8 billion on the acquisitions of Turquoise Hill Resources and the Rincon lithium project.

Rio Tinto explained that the result reflected "the movement in commodity prices, the impact of higher energy and raw materials prices" on its operations, as well as "higher rates of inflation" on its operating costs and closure liabilities. The average iron ore price was 25% lower in 2022 compared to 2021. The average copper price was 6% lower.

Looking at the mid-point of its guidance for 2023, it's expecting iron and copper mining costs per unit to increase. Iron ore shipments are also expected to increase.

Greenfield exploration

Rio Tinto continues to look at potential new projects. It's working in 18 countries across seven commodities and spent $253 million in 2022.

The bulk of the company's exploration spending was focused on copper projects in Australia, Colombia, Namibia, Peru, the US, and Zambia; diamonds in Angola; and heavy mineral sands projects in Australia and South Africa.

It's also exploring for nickel in Canada and Finland, and for lithium in all regions, with "opportunities emerging in the US and Africa".

When will huge dividends return?

Rio Tinto's board said the level of dividend takes into account the result for the financial year, the outlook for major commodities, the long-term growth prospects of the business, and the company's objective of maintaining a strong balance sheet.

The board also said it expects total cash returns to shareholders over the longer term to be in a range of between 40% to 60% of underlying earnings in total through the cycle. Additional returns could be paid in "periods of strong earnings and cash generation".

With the Rio Tinto dividend payout ratio being 60% for FY22, Rio Tinto may be suggesting there could be another dividend decrease unless resource prices keep performing in 2023.

Rio Tinto share price snapshot

While the Rio Tinto share price noticeably fell in February, it's been relatively flat since the start of 2023 and has risen around 20% over the past six months.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Two workers on a tablet at a mine site, with mining machinery behind them.
Resources Shares

Fortescue vs BHP: Which ASX miner is better for passive income in October?

Comparing Fortescue vs BHP shares for passive income—who pays the bigger franked dividend, and which miner I'd buy today for…

Read more »

Female miner standing smiling in a mine.
Broker Notes

3 ASX mining shares with 43% to 322% upside ahead: brokers

The miners remain on an upward trajectory despite the broader market weakening in 2026.

Read more »

Two workers on a tablet at a mine site, with mining machinery behind them.
Resources Shares

Is BHP the best ASX mining share to buy for the next 5 years?

I look at how copper, iron ore, and potash could reshape the mining giant over the next five years.

Read more »

Mining equipment and red iron ore against blue sky.
Resources Shares

Fortescue posts September 2026 quarterly earnings update

Fortescue iron ore shipments fell 6% in Q1 2027, with debt up as the miner paid its final dividend and…

Read more »

Gold bars on top of coins.
Resources Shares

Ramelius Resources September quarter earnings: Gold production update and outlook

Ramelius Resources lifted gold output and cash for the September quarter as it advances major projects and targets growth through…

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Resources Shares

West African Resources delivers record Q3 gold output, on track for 2026 targets

West African Resources delivered record group gold production in Q3 2026 and remains on track for annual guidance.

Read more »

Two people wearing hard hats talking with each other at a mine site, with two workers in the background.
Resources Shares

Fortescue vs PLS Group: Which ASX mining share is the better buy?

Which blue chip miner offers more upside—Fortescue or PLS Group? I dig into the numbers, dividends, and value to find…

Read more »

Stacked gold bricks.
Resources Shares

Regis Resources share price steady after Q1 production update

Regis Resources posts steady September quarter gold production and a strong cash position, with full results coming soon.

Read more »