2 ASX 200 shares to buy even as the world slips into recession

Energy and alcohol — can you do without these? I didn't think so.

While there are many different views about what will happen to S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares in 2023, most experts agree on one thing — the global economy will have a rough year.

Interest rates rose rapidly through the developed world last year, and that is starting to bite consumers and businesses alike. The full impact will be felt in 2023, with some countries even plunging into recession.

During such times, it's not a bad idea to search for ASX shares to buy that represent businesses that have resilient earnings. Some companies produce goods or services that people simply can't do without, even in tough economic times. 

Here are two stocks exactly in this position that have been rated as buys this week:

a man sits at his computer screen scrolling with his fingers with a satisfied smile on his face as though he is very content with the news he is receiving.

Image source: Getty Images

'A bright outlook'

Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV) is both an alcohol retailer and an operator of hotels and pubs.

Ord Minnett senior investment advisor Tony Paterno reckons it's a stock worth buying at the moment.

"Endeavour operates liquor outlets, hotels and gaming facilities. Recent electronic machine gaming has been strong in Victoria, Queensland and South Australia," Paterno told The Bull.

Buying Endeavour stocks now would be backing the idea that Australians will still have a drink through the tougher part of the economic cycle.

Paterno is pleased with the direction the business is heading.

"Group sales in the first quarter of fiscal year 2023 were up 3.1% on the prior corresponding period," he said.

"The company offers diversified revenue streams and a bright outlook."

The Endeavour share price has been up and down over the past year but is now 3.8% up. The stock pays out a dividend yield of 2.36%.

Paterno's peers are somewhat divided on the alcohol retail giant though. According to CMC Markets, five of nine analysts are rating it as a buy but three others are urging investors to sell.

Demand for decades

If you want evidence of how the world can change rapidly in just one year, you just need to take a look at coal mining stocks.

Only 12 months ago, ASX shares related to coal were untouchables. The theory was that, sooner or later, environmental imperatives would catch up with these companies, so avoid them like the plague.

But after a war in Ukraine and energy prices spiking up like this generation has never experienced, coal producers have gained remarkable popularity.

Paterno's current pick, New Hope Corporation Limited (ASX: NHC), has seen its share price gain a whopping 160.8% over the past year.

The party will continue, as far as Paterno is concerned.

"Asia is expected to remain a relative bright spot for coal demand in coming decades," he said.

"Near-term thermal coal prices remain high on supply concerns, as the war in Ukraine reinforces the need for energy security."

High coal prices have allowed New Hope to "generate strong free cash flow and return cash to shareholders via fully franked dividends", said Pateno.

"We expect an attractive dividend yield this financial year based on the current share price."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Investing Strategies

Person holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 great ASX dividend shares with 7%+ yields

These ASX shares pay an attractive dividend yield to their shareholders.

Read more »

three children wearing superhero costumes, complete with masks, pose with hands on hips wearing capes and sneakers on a running track.
Broker Notes

3 ASX small-cap shares to buy amid sector weakness: experts

The ASX Small Ords Index has tumbled 14% in 2026 vs. a 1% fall for the broader ASX All Ords.

Read more »

Hand sketching investment growth concept chart with chalk on blackboard.
Growth Shares

A rare buying opportunity in 1 of Australia's top shares?

This looks like a great time to invest in this former high-flyer…

Read more »

Colleagues checking out company's financial numbers on a laptop.
Growth Shares

A top fund manager is bullish on these ASX 200 shares

One of the leading fund managers has picked out these stocks.

Read more »

The hands of three people are cupped around soil holding three small seedling plants that are grouped together in the centre of the shot with the arms of the people extending into the edges of the picture representing ASX growth shares and it being a good time to buy for future gains
Growth Shares

Droneshield vs Pro Medicus: Which is the better ASX growth stock right now?

Pro Medicus and Droneshield are both popular ASX growth shares, but only one stands out for quality and momentum right…

Read more »

Senior couple enjoying each other's company while walking on the beach.
Dividend Investing

Why these excellent ASX dividend shares could be strong buys for passive income

Looking for passive income? Here are three quality picks.

Read more »

Woman using her laptop with her feet up.
Blue Chip Shares

CBA vs Soul Patts: Which ASX share wins in 2026?

Weighing up ASX giants Commonwealth Bank and Soul Patts on valuation, yield, and recent growth—here's which one I'd buy if…

Read more »

Woman thinking in a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buying Coles shares? Here's the dividend yield you'll get today

Coles has impressed dividend investors with its income growth.

Read more »