Can income investors bank on CBA growing its dividend yield by 18%?

The ASX's biggest bank is expected to bolster its dividends in 2023 and 2024.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • CBA shares currently offer a near-3.6% dividend yield, having paid out $3.85 per share over the last 12 months
  • But that could be about to change 
  • The stock has been tipped to up its dividends to $4.55 per share in financial year 2024, leaving its yield 18% higher considering its current share price

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares are currently the lowest yielding of the big four, offering investors a mediocre 3.57% dividend yield. But could it be about to grow the passive income it hands to investors?

One expert thinks the biggest of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO)'s big four banks could boost its dividends significantly in the coming years.

Indeed, it could be on track to grow its offerings by 18%, potentially boosting its yield along with them.

Right now, the CBA share price is trading at $107.65.

Let's take a closer look at what income investors might expect from CBA shares in the coming years.

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images

CBA's dividends tipped to soar

CBA shares might not be the big four bank income investors tend to turn to. Indeed, the giant's 3.57% yield is dwarfed by the likes of ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares.

ANZ – which happens to be the smallest of the big four ­– currently offers a 5.89% dividend yield, the highest of its peers.

But CBA's dividends might be about to jump 18%, according to broker Morgans.

It tips the bank to offer $4.10 of dividends per share this financial year, as my Fool colleague James recently reported.

That's up from $3.85 per share last financial year and comprises a $1.75 interim payout and $2.10 final offering, both of which were fully franked.

And the financial year 2024 could bring even more dividend growth. Morgans forecasts CBA to declare $4.55 of dividends per share next fiscal year.

That would see the bank trading with a 4.22% dividend yield at its current share price – an 18.2% increase.

Are CBA shares a passive income buy?

With that in mind, could CBA shares represent a passive income buy right now?

Interestingly, Morgans had a hold rating on the stock in November. It slapped it with a $94.57 price target – representing a potential 12% downside.

Meanwhile, Jefferies is said to expect the CBA share price to slide 15% to trade at $91.30.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Jefferies Financial Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A young man wearing a bright yellow jumper and glasses purses his lips together and moves them to the side of his face as he wonders about something.
Bank Shares

NAB and ANZ shares: One I'd hold and one I'd sell

ASX banking giants' shares have been under huge pressure this year.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on NAB and Westpac shares

A leading analyst foresees looming storm clouds over NAB and Westpac shares.

Read more »

Young woman thinking with laptop open.
Bank Shares

Hedge funds are shorting the big four bank shares. Should investors be worried?

Hedge funds have amassed a record $11 billion short position against Australia's big four bank shares. Here's whether investors should…

Read more »

A toy house sits on a pile of Australian $100 notes.
Bank Shares

What are the big 4 banks worth as the housing market falters?

Not all of the banks are ranked equally.

Read more »

Buy and sell on yellow paper with pins on them and several share price lines.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac and CBA shares

A leading analyst forecasts growing headwinds for Westpac and CBA shares.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Bank Shares

Why Morgan Stanley expects CBA shares to plunge another 22%

Morgan Stanley expects CBA shares have a lot further to fall. But why?

Read more »

A man sitting at a computer is blown away by what he's seeing on the screen, hair and tie whooshing back as he screams argh in panic.
Bank Shares

NAB shares sink to 52-week low, are they in the buy zone?

This big four bank's shares are hitting a new low on Tuesday.

Read more »

a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.
Bank Shares

Bank of Queensland shares slump to a multi-year low. Buy, sell or hold?

The shares are now also 10% lower year to date.

Read more »