Analysts give their verdict on ANZ shares: Should you buy?

Is it too late to invest in the big four bank?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares have been on a good run.

Since this time last week, the banking giant's shares have risen 3.15%.

But can they keep rising from here? Let's see what one leading broker is saying about the big four bank following the release of its half-year results.

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.

Image source: Getty Images

Half-year results review

As a reminder, ANZ released its results on Tuesday and reported a cash profit of $3,552 million for the six months ended 31 March. This represents a 1% decline compared to the second half of FY 2023.

Despite this decline, the bank increased its partially franked interim dividend to 85 cents per share and announced a $2 billion on-market share buyback.

Are ANZ shares a buy?

This is harder to answer than normal.

That's because Goldman Sachs has responded to the result by retaining its buy rating on the bank's shares.

However, the broker's improved price target of $28.15 (from $27.69) is a touch below the current ANZ share price of $28.79.

So, if you were looking for share price returns, you may not be seeing any over the next 12 months.

However, if you are looking for a source of income, then ANZ's shares could be worthy of a closer look.

Goldman Sachs is forecasting dividends per share of $1.66 in both FY 2024 and FY 2025. This equates to partially franked dividend yields of 5.75% for investors.

What did the broker say?

Goldman remains positive on ANZ and its shares due to potential productivity benefits, institutional business, and discount to the rest of the sector. It explains:

We reiterate our Buy on ANZ, given i) we are seeing evidence of ANZ's ability to derive productivity benefits (A$201 mn in 1H24) and management noted there remains a large pipeline available which can be used to offset cost inflation. Furthermore, ii) the improving profitability of ANZ's Institutional business remains a key driver of our positive investment thesis. We continue to see upside for Group returns due to accretive mix shifts in the Institutional business towards higher ROE Payments and Cash Management business. Finally, the stock still trades at a 30% discount to the sector (ex-dividend adjusted) versus a 15-yr average discount 13%.

Is anyone else bullish?

One leading broker that sees scope for ANZ shares to rise further is Jefferies.

This morning, the broker has responded to the bank's results by retaining its overweight rating with an improved price target of $31.00 (from $29.00).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A pink piggybank sits in a pile of autumn leaves.
Bank Shares

Buying NAB shares after the sell-off? Here's the dividend yield you'll get

NAB released its latest quarterly update this morning.

Read more »

A woman holds her empty unzipped wallet upside down and dips her head to look under it to see if any money falls out of it.
Bank Shares

Profits up, home loans down. Why NAB shares are getting smashed on Monday

Investors are pulling out of NAB shares on Monday. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A woman shrugs and pulls awkward expression with her face.
Bank Shares

Are CBA shares a buy after its $10.98 billion profit?

A record profit, a bigger dividend, and a very big price tag.

Read more »

Worried woman calculating domestic bills.
Earnings Results

National Australia Bank lifts cash earnings, capital in 3Q26 update

The big four bank's statutory net profit rose 32% to $1.81 billion.

Read more »

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.
Bank Shares

If I invest $5,000 in CBA shares, how much passive income will I get in FY27?

Find out how much passive income you could earn next year.

Read more »

Young girl peeps over the top of her red piggy bank, ready to put coins in it.
Bank Shares

If I invest $10,000 in NAB shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

What passive income can investors expect from NAB?

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Here's how much CBA shares would have to fall for a 4% dividend yield

What would it take for CBA to get back to a proper bank dividend yield?

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

ANZ share price rises 5% on 3Q FY26 update

Investors are looking past a 12% fall in the value of home loan applications since the Federal Budget.

Read more »