What recession? 2 retail ASX shares ready to bust out: expert

There are some non-staple merchants who will fare better than others as Australians feel the impact of bigger mortgage repayments.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Investors are understandably wary of ASX shares involved in the retail sector, for good reasons.

The negative effect of seven consecutive interest rate rises will soon start to bite Australian households, as there is often a lag after rate rises before consumers start closing their wallets.

And if Australians have less disposable income, they're not going to get out to the shops and go nuts on buying non-staple items.

However, there are some exceptions.

Due to the nature of their operating model or the actual product or service they provide, some retail businesses are more resistant to economic downturns.

Here are two such examples of ASX shares experts rated as buys this week:

Riding the recent stock price momentum

For Sequoia Wealth Management senior wealth manager Peter Day, Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) ticks many boxes.

"Company brands include Supercheap Auto, rebel, BCF and Macpac. The latest trading update showed a positive start in the first 16 weeks of fiscal year 2023."

Management was understandably conservative in its outlook in the current environment, but Day is more bullish than that.

"We remain positive about the company's resilience. Share price momentum has been to the upside between early October and November 3."

Indeed the Super Retail share price has soared almost 16% since 3 October. Helping Day's buy case is a tidy 7% dividend yield.

While the stock is a buy for the team at Sequoia, other professionals aren't wholly convinced.

According to CMC Markets, eight out of 16 analysts currently rate Super Retail as a hold. Six recommend it as a strong buy.

Shares going for an attractive discount

Spotee Connect chief Chris Batchelor reckons JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) operates "a successful business" in consumer electronics retail.

The share price has admittedly dipped 11% year to date, but he's convinced that's merely a buying opportunity for long-term investment.

"Revenue has increased at a compound average annual rate of 11.4% for the past 10 years."

Despite the economic worries, the discount in the valuation is making JB Hi-Fi a compelling buy.

"The market is concerned about economic headwinds dampening consumer demand — but we believe a share price at low $40 levels represents good value."

JB Hi-Fi shares closed Tuesday at $43.33.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended JB Hi-Fi Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

footwear asx share price on watch represented by look holding shoe and looking intently
Retail Shares

JPMorgan says buy these two undervalued ASX shares with big dividend yields

These stocks have been rated as bargain buys.

Read more »

A little girls sings her heart out on stage with tinsel sparkling behind her, she is a star.
Retail Shares

Do you own Lovisa shares? It's dividend day!

Lovisa shareholders are getting a sparkling payment today.

Read more »

A woman standing on the street looks through binoculars.
Retail Shares

What is the earnings forecast to 2026 for Wesfarmers shares?

This stock could keep making enormous profits.

Read more »

A man and woman in an office look at a laptop and discuss investing, budget strategies or other financial concepts
Retail Shares

How much passive income would $10,000 in Wesfarmers shares generate?

The owner of Bunnings is paying pleasing dividends.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

This hot ASX 300 stock is down 30% since February. Is it a buy?

This stock has fallen hard, but should investors buy the dip?

Read more »

A man eases back onto his sofa, happy with the relaxed vibe from his furniture.
Retail Shares

Why I just sold half my shares in this ASX 300 stock even though I still love it!

I’m still a big fan of this business.

Read more »

Two fashionable asx investors dancing among confetti.
Retail Shares

2 'very high-quality' ASX retail shares with significant inside ownership

A fund manager has named two appealing stocks to own.

Read more »

A man sits on a bench atop a mountain with a laptop, making investments with a green ESG mind.
Earnings Results

ASX All Ords stock KMD tumbles as interim dividend cancelled

Investors are hitting the sell button on ASX All Ords stock KMD today.

Read more »