Are storm clouds gathering over ANZ's Suncorp bid?

The takeover of Suncorp may not be as simple as planned.

| More on:
A girl stands at a wooden fence holding a big, inflated balloon looking at dark clouds looming ominously behind her.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ANZ wants to acquire the banking division of Suncorp for $4.9 billion
  • Queensland’s government is asking a number of questions about the deal to ensure the state's economy doesn’t suffer
  • While Suncorp branches may not be closed, there is speculation that ANZ may close its own branches sooner than expected

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd (ASX: ANZ) wants to acquire the banking division of Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN).

The leadership of Suncorp may have already agreed to the deal. However, there are other hurdles that ANZ has to pass before the deal is complete.

For starters, ANZ needs to convince the governments involved that it wouldn't be a negative thing for the two businesses to merge.

Government asks Suncorp and ANZ questions

According to reporting by the Australian Financial Review, the Queensland government wants ANZ to explain how Suncorp's banking division would be allowed to run independently for several years before it allows the deal.

ANZ will also need federal and Treasurer clearance as well.

Queensland's laws, which reportedly date back to Suncorp's formation in 1996 as a combined insurance and banking business, requires the Suncorp managing director to reside in the state and that the company's headquarters must be based there.

After an information request, the AFR learned that in a letter to Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick, Suncorp CEO Steve Johnston and Chair Christine McLoughlin said they welcomed the opportunity to discuss the deal, maintained the sale was in the best interests of Queensland and the national interest, and committed that the Suncorp Group head office will remain in Queensland.

The newspaper also reported that notes from Dick regarding a meeting with ANZ leadership show the Treasurer was "not opposed to the transaction however the transaction must deliver an outcome in the best interests of Queensland" and that there were merger documents that have additional requirements including "branch presence in specific towns and certain rural lending requirements".

The Queensland Treasury has asked a number of different questions regarding whether Suncorp's bank will have a separate CEO and governance structure, and what sorts of decisions Suncorp Bank will be able to make independently.

Questions were also asked about the end of the transition period regarding customers, the bank licence, and branding.

Concerns about branch numbers

While ANZ has committed that it won't close any Suncorp branches within the first three years, nor will there be net job losses, there is speculation that ANZ could decide to close ANZ branches sooner than expected.

The AFR quoted Finance Sector Union Queensland secretary Wendy Streets, who said:

There are currently around 40 suburbs [or] towns where there are both Suncorp and ANZ branches and we believe these ANZ's will be targeted to close during the three-year moratorium.

At the conclusion of the three-year commitment, it is our view that the savings will come from back office synergies between the two which ultimately will mean a significant amount of Queensland job losses as the work transfers to ANZ Melbourne departments.

The FSU wants caveats on the sales about job security from both ANZ and Suncorp.

Benefits of the deal for ANZ shares

ANZ said that as the smallest major bank, it thinks a stronger ANZ will be able to compete more effectively in Queensland, offering better outcomes for customers.

The purchase price is $4.9 billion, representing 9.3x earnings post-acquisition, full run-rate synergies.

It's expected to add low single digits to ANZ's earnings per share (EPS) on a pro forma FY23 basis, including the full synergies.

Annual 'cost synergies' are expected at around $260 million before tax.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Own NAB shares? Here's your half-year results preview

What does the market expect from this banking giant next week?

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Bank Shares

Why is Westpac stock beating the other ASX 200 banks today?

Why is this bank outperforming the others?

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Dividend Investing

NAB stock: Should you buy the 4.7% yield?

Do analysts think this banking giant is a buy for income investors?

Read more »

Three colleagues stare at a computer screen with serious looks on their faces.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares charge higher despite $164m profit hit

What's impacting the bank's profits in FY 2024?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

Are ANZ shares a top buy for dividend income?

Can we bank on ANZ shares for passive income payments?

Read more »

Accountant woman counting an Australian money and using calculator for calculating dividend yield.
Bank Shares

How much do you need to invest in NAB shares for $12,000 in annual dividends?

Enjoying $12,000 in annual dividend income is no easy feat...

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Is the CBA share price heading for a fall?

Experts are still saying CBA shares are a sell.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Bank Shares

Sell Bank of Queensland shares before they crash

Now is not the time to buy this bank's shares according to a leading broker.

Read more »