Could the Coles share price be in for a better month in October?

Does the future look brighter for the ASX 200 supermarket operator?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Coles share price tumbled more than 6% last month 
  • At the same time, Aussies were found to have tightened their purse strings, dropping their supermarket spending by 19% month on month in September
  • But broker Morgans is bullish on Coles, tipping its share price to lift nearly 22%

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price struggled through September, dumping 6.4% over the month.

But with broker sentiment appearing positive on the stock, could October bring better days?

At the time of writing, the Coles share price is $16.41, 0.97% lower than its previous close.

Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 0.1%. The index also slumped 7.3% in September, which is generally the market's worst month.

Let's take a look at what the future might hold for the ASX 200 supermarket favourite.

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.

Image source: Getty Images

What might the future hold for the Coles share price?

The near future of the Coles share price looks bright, according to some experts.

Morgans, for one, is tipping a 21.7% upside on the supermarket stock, slapping Coles shares with an add rating and a $20 price target, as my Fool colleague James reports.

The broker likes the company's recently announced plan to sell Coles Express for $300 million.

It says the move will "free up significant balance sheet capacity" and allow the company to focus on its supermarkets and liquor businesses, continuing:

[W]e think [this] is the right strategy as competition is likely to remain intense on the back of higher inflation, rising interest rates, and increasing cost-of-living pressures for customers.

Of course, the company is an S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Staples Index (ASX: XSJ) constituent. Meaning, it's regarded as better off than most amid tough times as consumers can't simply stop spending on food.

However, new data shows Australians did, indeed, slow their supermarket spending last month.

The Beforepay Group Ltd (ASX: B4P) Cost of Living Index, which summarises the spending of more than 300,000 Aussies, found daily spending on groceries dropped 19% month on month to $15.20 a day in September.

If such trends continue, it could weigh on the supermarket operator's bottom line.

However, Seneca investment advisor Arthur Garipoli, who is neither bullish nor bearish on Coles shares, believes tightening purse strings won't prove too large an obstacle for the company, telling The Bull:

In a higher interest rate environment, Coles can be sufficiently agile to appeal to shoppers by ensuring affordable prices.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A businessman wears armour and holds a shield and sword.
Share Market News

Nervous investors turn to ASX 200 defensives as global energy shock drags on

ASX investors sought safety in defensive sectors last week.

Read more »

A smiling woman at a hardware shop selects paint colours from a wall display.
Broker Notes

Wesfarmers shares: Buy, hold or sell?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

A couple sits on the bed in their hotel room wearing white robes, both have seen the bad news on their phones.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

EVT flags FY26 EBITDA growth amid hotel strength and portfolio changes

EVT expects EBITDA growth for FY26, with hotels leading performance and ongoing portfolio upgrades supporting future results.

Read more »

Happy smiling young woman drinking red wine while standing among the grapevines in a vineyard.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is everyone buying this beaten-down ASX wine stock now?

Execution will determine if this rally has legs.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock is sinking 15% on CEO change

The online furniture retailer has announced a leadership change today.

Read more »

Woman customer and grocery shopping cart in supermarket store, retail outlet or mall shop. Female shopper pushing trolley in shelf aisle to buy discount groceries, sale goods and brand offers.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Woolworths shares for the 'steady dividends'?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for Woolworths rebounding shares.

Read more »

A close up of a casino card dealer's hands shuffling a deck of cards at a professional gambling table with the eager faces of casino patrons in the background.
Share Gainers

Why is everyone buying Tabcorp shares this week?

Here's what is driving the latest price momentum for Tabcorp shares, and what to expect next.

Read more »

A group of people clink wine glasses in an outdoor, late afternoon setting to celebrate the rising Treasury Wine share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Treasury Wine shares rocketing 16% today?

Investors are piling into Treasury Wine shares on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »