Is this why the BHP share price is down 4% today?

US interest rates could rise quickly in 2022. Is this why the BHP share price is down 4%?

| More on:
Sad looking miner holding his head down.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • BHP shares are down 4% on Friday 
  • It released its quarterly production update this week 
  • The US Federal Reserve may increase interest rates by 50 basis points in May 

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is down 4% in early trading on Friday. What's causing the decline?

Could it be the latest reaction to production numbers?

Earlier this week, BHP revealed its quarterly update to investors for the three months to 31 March 2022.

Quarter on quarter, its iron ore production was down 10% because of temporary labour constraints due to COVID-19, train driver shortages and planned maintenance activities. Nickel production was down 13% quarter on quarter because of labour constraints. Energy coal production was down 13% because of wet weather and COVID-19 absenteeism.

BHP reduced its full year copper production guidance and full year nickel production guidance.

ASX 200 drops

But it's not just the BHP share price which is down. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 1.6% at the time of writing.

The US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell commented overnight on the need to reduce inflation. While on an International Monetary Fund panel, Mr Powell said:

It is appropriate in my view to be moving a little more quickly. I also think there is something to be said for front-end loading any accommodation one thinks is appropriate…I would say 50 basis points will be on the table for the May meeting.

Our goal is to use our tools to get demand and supply back in synch, so that inflation moves down and does so without a slowdown that amounts to a recession. I don't think you'll hear anyone at the Fed say that that's going to be straightforward or easy. It's going to be very challenging. We're going to do our best to accomplish that.

It's absolutely essential to restore price stability.

Changing interest rates, and the expected rate of those changes can have an impact on asset prices. Warren Buffett once described interest rates as gravity on asset prices – the higher the interest rate, the stronger the downward pull on asset prices.

The BHP share price isn't the only one that is hurting. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price is down 2% and the Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price is down 2% as well. Larger businesses have a bigger impact on the ASX 200 than the smaller ones.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns Fortescue Metals Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on these 2 ASX 200 mining shares

The broker sees significant valuation differences between these 2 major ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Lynas share price slides on rare earths revenue headwinds

ASX 200 investors are pressuring the Lynas share price today.

Read more »

Man in yellow hard hat looks through binoculars as man in white hard hat stands behind him and points.
Resources Shares

What stage in the cycle are ASX iron ore shares (and are they a buy)?

Are iron ore miners closer to the end or beginning of the boom-bust cycle?

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Resources Shares

Is BHP stock a good long-term investment?

Here's my view on whether the miner is worth owning for the long-term.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Own ASX mining shares? Experts say an upswing in commodity prices has begun

HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Jamie Culling explain why global commodity prices are rising.

Read more »

Open copper pipes
Resources Shares

ASX copper stocks in the spotlight as the red metal soars to 2-year highs

The copper price is up 15% in 2024. Can the red metal’s bull run continue?

Read more »

Woman in yellow hard hat and gloves puts both thumbs down
Resources Shares

4 ASX mining shares being hammered on quarterly updates

These mining shares are having a difficult session.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Here is the dividend forecast to 2028 for Fortescue shares

The potential dividend payments from Fortescue could surprise you.

Read more »