Can Appen (ASX:APX) shares rise to glory again?

The artificial intelligence services provider was once the darling of investors, but the stock price has tumbled more than 70% over the past year

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Poor Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) shareholders.

The stock has been a nightmare over the past 12 months, as the price plunged more than 70%. 

Appen shares exceeded the $40 mark in August 2020, but lagged at $10.85 on Tuesday afternoon.

That's after the artificial intelligence data provider returned a staggering 2,200% in the 5 years prior. 

Those that are still hanging on will be wondering "Where to from here?"

And those investors on the sidelines might be thinking the technology stock could now be a bargain buy.

Some experts recently offered their opinion on whether now is the time to grab Appen shares:

a woman thinking about security

Image source: Getty Images

Appen has a lot of catching up to do

Burman Invest chief investment officer Julia Lee said that it's important for investors to focus on Appen's long-term prospects.

She pointed out that the last financial update saw Appen pare back the earnings forecast for the current year to $81 to $88 million.

But even after that downgrade, the business has a lot of work to do for the rest of the year to "catch up" to expectations.

"It means they really need to shoot the lights out in the first half, because in the first half of this year they only saw earnings of $27.7 million," Lee told Switzer TV Investing.

"So extremely high expectations for the second half."

This situation made Appen shares "extremely high risk", according to Lee.

Many eggs in one basket

Appen's clientele, which includes the large US technology giants, is also potentially problematic.

After COVID-19-induced spending reviews, there is a risk that some of those clients might bring AI data work in-house, rather than outsource to Appen.

"And the thing with Appen is that the top 5 clients make up more than 90% of revenue," said Lee.

"So if it loses one of them or sees a decrease in revenue from one of those clients, it does have a big impact." 

Appen shares are trading at a discount

On the flip side, Catapult Wealth portfolio manager Tim Haselum is rating Appen shares as a "buy".

"It has strong rebound potential," he said on The Bull.

"We like the company and believe it's undervalued."

Haselum recognised the company's acquisition of mobile location data provider Quadrant Global and has faith that demand for AI services will remain "strong".

"This language technology and data services company has reduced guidance," he said.

"But the stock is trading at a discount on these valuations, in our view."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo owns shares of Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

PLS shares have soared 107% in a year! Is the ASX 200 lithium stock now a buy, hold or sell?

A top analyst provides his outlook for the rocketing PLS share price.

Read more »

Frustrated man looking exhausted while sitting at his desk with his laptop and carrying his glasses in his hand.
Broker Notes

Experts name CBA and these big-name ASX 200 shares as sells this week

Let's see why they are bearish on these popular names.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Experts name 3 top ASX shares to buy this week

These shares have been given the thumbs up by experts this week.

Read more »

A woman standing on the street looks through binoculars.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Corporate Travel Management, Wesfarmers, Fortescue shares

ASX 200 shares fell heavily amid soaring oil prices and bond yields last week.

Read more »

Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: NextDC, South32, CBA shares

Let's check out some new ratings on ASX shares today.

Read more »

Man analysing data on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Teen standing in a city street smiling and throwing sparkling gold glitter into the air.
Broker Notes

9 ASX shares just upgraded by the experts

Several ASX 200 gold miners are in the mix.

Read more »

A guys points his fingers down.
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares downgraded by brokers this week

Brokers cut their ratings on Elders, Charter Hall Retail REIT, Sims, and other stocks this week. 

Read more »