Is this ASX underperformer going to be the comeback kid of FY20?

One of the worst performers in FY19 could be making a comeback as the stock has surged to the top of the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index leader board this morning.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

One of the worst performers in FY19 could be making a comeback as the stock has surged to the top of the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index leader board this morning.

This dog is the Pact Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: PGH) share price, which has surged 4.3% to $2.65 at the time of writing and is comfortably ahead the Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price and Bellamy's Australia Ltd (ASX: BAL) share price, which are in second and third spots.

The PGH share price gain is on top of yesterday's 11.4% rally after the debt-laden company said it secured the support of its debtors.

From ugly duckling to swan?

However, it's a long road to redemption for the packaging group as the stock is still down close to 50% over the past year when its peers like the AMCOR PLC/IDR UNRESTR (ASX: AMC) share price is up 12% and Orora Ltd (ASX: ORA) share price shed a more modest 10% in value over the period.

Every long journey begins with the first step and Pact Group may finally be heading in the right direction with Goldman Sachs upgrading the stock to "buy" after management announced yesterday that it has refinanced its debt.

"With the key stock overhang now gone, we are now more comfortable that the risk/return trade-off is more attractively balanced," said the broker.

"With our 12-month target price of A$3.02 offering c.20% upside at current levels, we are comfortable adding the stock back to our Buy list (from Neutral)."

New debt-pack triggers re-rating

The refinancing arrangement allowed Pact Group to extend the maturity of $380 million worth of debt that was due for repayment in July 2020 to January 2022 – and at competitive terms to boot!

It also got relief from its debt covenant to the end of this calendar year and its lenders have agreed to allow it to establish a subordinate debt facility.

That last concession cleared the way for Pact Group to secure a six-year $50 million unsecured subordinate term loan, which will be used to pay down senior debt and give the group greater funding flexibility without materially increasing its cost of capital.

The company also said that underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) would come in at the lower end of its FY19 guidance range of $230 million to $245 million.

Investors aren't bothered by that given earlier worries that Pact Group would succumb to its debt burden.

It also probably helps that the market on the whole is looking expensive and value buys are difficult to come by. Pact Group isn't quite out of the woods yet but given how far behind it is, the stock could be worth a punt for bargain hunters.

But this isn't the only stock that represents value. The experts at the Motley Fool believe these stocks also make good buying candidates for FY20.

Follow the link below to find out what these ASX stocks are.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Connect with him on Twitter @brenlau.

The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Appen Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Bellamy's Australia. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

Winning woman smiles and holds big cup while losing woman looks unhappy with small cup
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX surprisingly managed to rise this Monday.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment at their office.
Share Gainers

Why DPM Metals, Elders, EOS, and Pro Medicus shares are pushing higher today

These shares are starting the week on a positive note. Here's why.

Read more »

A cute little boy, short in height, wearing glasses, old-fashioned bow tie and cardigan stands against a wall near a tape measure with his hand at the top of his head as though to measure his height.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a fairly awful end to the trading week.

Read more »

Three happy team mates holding the winners trophy.
Share Market News

4 ASX 200 stocks rocketing 19% to 43% in this week's slumping market

Investors are piling into these four ASX 200 stocks despite the broader market decline. But why?

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Domino's, DroneShield, EBR, and Lendlease shares are pushing higher today

These shares are avoiding the market selloff on Friday.

Read more »

Girl with painted hands.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

ASX shares went backwards again this Thursday.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Share Market News

Orica shares have soared 40% this year on record profit. Can they keep going?

Expectations are high, but this growth story could still have legs.

Read more »

Man looking happy and excited as he looks at his mobile phone.
Share Gainers

Why Breville, Flight Centre, Navigator Global, and Regis Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are avoiding the market weakness on Thursday.

Read more »