The Telstra (ASX:TLS) share price just printed a seven-year low

The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX:TLS) share price just printed a seven-year low. Should you invest?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Unfortunately for its shareholders the Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price touched on a seven-year low of $2.80 this morning.

This brought the telco giant's 12-month share price decline to a sizeable 37%.

Why are its shares at a seven-year low?

Despite Telstra advising that it expected to hit the low-end of its EBITDA guidance and the high-end of its cash flow guidance in FY 2018, many shareholders rushed to the exits after management warned that tough trading conditions were unlikely to ease in FY 2019.

Another slight concern that appeared to weigh on sentiment was a decline in average revenue per user (ARPU) in its postpaid mobile business.

The arrival of TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPM) in the mobile space with some aggressive plans has many concerned that mobile ARPU could fall further in FY 2019 as competition heats up.

One broker that is especially bearish is Citi. In response to the update it released a broker note which revealed that its analysts had retained their sell rating and slashed the price target on the company's shares to a lowly $2.70.

It suspects that Telstra will be unable to continue paying its 22 cents per share dividend in the future unless it takes drastic action to stop the rot.

But not everybody is bearish on Telstra. A note out of Deutsche Bank reveals that its analysts have retained their buy rating and $3.90 price target on the company's shares. Furthermore, the broker has forecast a lift to its dividend in FY 2019 to 23 cents per share.

Should you invest?

It's been a long time since I have seen a share as divisive as Telstra on the Australian share market.

While I am optimistic that things will improve over the next 12 months and that 5G internet could be a key driver of long-term growth, investors may want to keep their powder dry until the release of its full-year results.

At that point the impact of TPG Telecom on its mobile business may be better understood.

In the meantime, I think Macquarie Telecom Group Ltd. (ASX: MAQ) could offer investors a great mix of growth and dividends.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited and TPG Telecom Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »