Is it time to buy Origin Energy Ltd?

It looks like 2018 will be a better year for Origin Energy Ltd (ASX:ORG). Here's why…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) share price has made a strong recovery since slumping to $7 in October and is now trading for about $9.57.

Despite gaining more than 35 per cent in the past three months, there are signs the Origin share price could keep going up.

For financial year (FY) 2017, Origin reported a net loss after tax of $2.2 billion on revenues of $14 billion.

More recently, things have been looking better for Origin.   

For the quarter ended 30 September 2017, Origin announced revenue of $678.6 million, up by 58 per cent on the corresponding period the year before.

Origin also entered into an agreement to sell its conventional upstream oil and gas business, Lattice Energy, to Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) for about $1.6 billion during that quarter.

Origin CEO Frank Calabria said the sale is part of the company's strategy to simplify the business and reduce debt.

Adding to those factors, Origin looks set to benefit from rising retail energy prices coupled with projections of further declines in the costs of producing renewable energy.

As such, some analysts have changed their views on Origin.

In November, UBS cited Origin among its top ten ASX shares to buy for 2018 among another energy provider, AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL).

Last month broker Goldman Sachs lifted its rating on Origin from neutral to buy, slapping a $10.70 target on the energy company's share price.

And, more recently, another broker, Morgan Stanley, has lifted its price target on Origin shares to $10.88.

Although things are looking better for Origin, AGL Energy still looks like a better buy.

AGL is expecting to turn an underlying profit after tax of up to $1.04 billion for FY 2018, which would represent a significant improvement on FY2017's profit of $802 million.

And AGL, unlike Origin, paid its shareholders a dividend per share of 91 cents (80 per cent franked) for FY 2017.

As such, AGL appears more attractive.

Motley Fool contributor Steve Holland has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »