Is Commonwealth Bank of Australia heading for a bear market?

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) could follow Westpac Banking Corp (ASX:WBC) into an official bear market.

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Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) has continued its disastrous run today, taking another firm step towards officially falling into a bear market.

Although it briefly managed to rise above the $81 a share mark earlier in the day, the stock has since fallen back into the red-zone, hitting a fresh six-month low at just $79.80. That equates to a massive 17.5% decline since the shares peaked at $96.69 late in March as investors have continued to turn away from the nation's 'Big Four' bank stocks en masse.

While the stock has officially entered a "technical correction" – defined as a loss of 10% or more since its peak, generally within the space of two months – it is now facing an even worse scenario: an official bear market, which is after a stock loses more than 20% of its price.

Indeed, Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) is already at that stage, having lost 21.6% since its peak, while National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) is also verging on a bear market, sporting a 19.2% loss. Australia and New Zealand Banking Group's (ASX: ANZ) decline hasn't been quite as severe as that of its larger rivals, although it's still down 16.1% since it hit a high of $37.25.

Two months ago, most people would have thought you were crazy if you'd said Australia's largest banks were headed for a bear market, but that now seems like a possibility. With strong headwinds facing the banking sector, and the Australian economy as a whole, it seems reasonable to expect investors to continue turning their backs on the sector in search of superior investment opportunities.

Motley Fool contributor Ryan Newman does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned. You can follow Ryan on Twitter @ASXvalueinvest. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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