Why Telstra shares are a buy despite 'persistently high inflation': Jefferies

This expert reckons Telstra is in the bargain bin right now.

| More on:
A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Investors in the Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price were having a rough few months. That was until Telstra's arch-rival Optus had its little incident this week. Since the start of Wednesday's trading, Telstra shares have put on more than 2%. It might not be a surprise if some Telstra investors are feeling some schadenfreude right now.

Even so, it has still been a tough few months for Telstra shares. Back in June, the ASX 200 telco was enjoying a multi-year high of $4.46 a share. However, sentiment has dramatically cooled off since then. Today, Telstra shares are asking just $3.96 each, down more than 10% from those June heights.

Most commentators, including the expert we'll shortly discuss, agree on the reason why Telstra shares have come under pressure recently. It relates to the full-year earnings report back in August – specifically the decision by Telstra to maintain its ownership of its InfraCo Fixed infrastructure assets. Some investors had been hoping that the company would unlock value by further separating these assets or even selling them off.

This probably explains why investors have taken their foot off the gas when it comes to Telstra shares.

However, one ASX expert reckons this share price weakness might be a good buying opportunity for investors looking for a bargain.

ASX broker names Telstra share price as a buy

According to reporting in The Australian recently, ASX broker Jefferies has retained a buy rating on Telstra shares. That's despite the broker cutting its 12-month share price target to $4.60 from $4.78. That would still represent a potential upside of over 16% from today's pricing if accurate though.

Jefferies argues that Telstra's investment thesis remains compelling, despite inflationary pressures putting strains on the telco's T25 cost-cutting plans.

Jefferies acknowledges that Telstra has "underperformed" thanks to investor disappointment over Telstra's "refrain from divesting physical infrastructure unit InfraCo Fixed".

However, the broker posits that "there is limited downside to TLS share performance as industry-wide average revenue per user should start improving in near term".

No doubt this opinion will bring some comfort to Telstra investors today. But let's see what happens over the coming 12 months.

At the present Telstra share price, this ASX 200 telco has a trailing dividend yield of 4.3%, which comes with full franking credits attached.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Communication Shares

Health professional looking at a laptop.
Communication Shares

Own Telstra shares? A division may soon be offloaded!

Australia’s biggest telco is considering making itself a bit smaller.

Read more »

A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.
Communication Shares

ASX 300 stock down 24% since March now offers 'compelling value'

A fund manager has picked out this stock as a good opportunity.

Read more »

group of friends checking facebook on their smartphones
Communication Shares

How much could $5,000 invested in Telstra shares be worth next year?

Let's see what analysts think a $5,000 investment could turn into.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Communication Shares

Own Telstra shares? Here's why the ASX 200 telco just backed this AI startup

Telstra Ventures is upping its exposure to AI.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Communication Shares

Guess which ASX 200 insider just dumped $4 million in company shares

Is it a sign of rocky times ahead, or just another routine sale?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Communication Shares

Aussie Broadband shares are falling on a big sale today

The Aussie Broadband and Superloop saga continues...

Read more »

A man in trendy clothing sits on a bench in a shopping mall looking at his phone with interest and a surprised look on his face.
Communication Shares

Should ASX investors buy the dip in Telstra stock?

The telco is widely held by retail investors but has disappointed for most of its life. Is a bull run…

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Dividend Investing

Investing for passive income? Keep any eye out for that boosted Telstra dividend today!

If you own Telstra shares, keep an eye out for that juicy dividend payout today.

Read more »