What is Goldman Sachs saying about A2 Milk shares?

A2 Milk shares have been hammered this year. Is it time to buy?

| More on:
Focused man entrepreneur with glasses working, looking at laptop screen thinking about something intently while sitting in the office.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) shares have been having a tough time this year.

Since the start of 2023, the infant formula company's shares have lost approximately 36% of their value.

In light of this, investors may be wondering if this is a buying opportunity. Let's find out if it is.

Are A2 Milk shares in the buy zone?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts are not in a rush to buy the company's shares.

Following a review of consumer stocks, this morning the broker has reaffirmed its sell rating and $4.20 price target.

This implies a potential downside of 5% from current levels.

What did the broker say?

Goldman has been looking at ASX consumer shares with international exposure and is currently only positive on one name – Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE).

In respect to the others, it has a neutral rating on Breville Group Ltd (ASX: BRG) and a sell rating on Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) shares. It explains:

We continue to prefer TWE (Buy) and BRG (Neutral) over A2M (Sell) and DMP (Sell) on a focus on brand and innovation including for TWE – 19 Crimes rebranding, One by Penfolds and Multi-Country of Origin Launch, Matua and Frank Family scaling; and for BRG – Barista Touch Impress, Vertuo Creatista, Joule Turbo Sous Vide and the Breville+ platform. There continues to be strong demand and a penetration run-way for products that solve under-served demand, in less price sensitive categories.

Given global freight cost normalisation and weak AUD, both these companies should benefit from GP margin tail winds and translation benefits. In contrast, we expect A2M to still be dragged by underwhelming demand in China and lower child births, while we expect DMP's Japan business to continue to surprise to the downside given May final relaxation of COVID resulting in lower delivery/take-out demand while cost inflation continued to challenge margins.

All in all, Goldman appears to believe investors should be buying Treasury Wine instead of A2 Milk shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Domino's Pizza Enterprises and Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Domino's Pizza Enterprises and Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk, Domino's Pizza Enterprises, and Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woman customer and grocery shopping cart in supermarket store, retail outlet or mall shop. Female shopper pushing trolley in shelf aisle to buy discount groceries, sale goods and brand offers.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woolworths share price sinks 5% on 'challenging quarter'

It was a challenging three months for the retail giant.

Read more »

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Should you buy Coles shares after its Q3 sales update?

It was another quarter of strong sales growth. Are Coles shares attractive?

Read more »

A woman wine tasting in a bottle shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woolworths shares outperform on $468m Endeavour selldown and capital return

Woolies plans to return capital to shareholders following the sale.

Read more »

Man with his hand out, symbolising a trading halt.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Shares of this ASX 200 stock halted as new CEO decides not to join

A new CEO has decided not to drive to this business.

Read more »

Confused woman at a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles share price falls following Q3 sales update

This supermarket giant continued its growth during the third quarter. So why are its shares falling?

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is the Super Retail share price falling 5% today?

Investors are shying away from the retailer as the company gets ready to go to court.

Read more »

a man in a green and gold Australian athletic kit roars ecstatically with a wide open mouth while his hands are clenched and raised as a shower of gold confetti falls in the sky around him.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

2 ASX betting shares surging on quarterly updates

These shares are having a strong session. Why are investors betting on them today?

Read more »

a young woman sits with her hands holding up her face as she stares unhappily at a laptop computer screen as if she is disappointed with something she is seeing there.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is the Kogan share price crashing 27%?

Here's how this e-commerce company performed during the third quarter.

Read more »