Guess which ASX 200 share is diving 6% on a disappointing dividend outlook

This real estate investment trust is tumbling in value today on news of lower dividends for FY23 and FY24.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares are in the green today, up 0.12% to 7,317 points.

But one ASX 200 share moving in the opposite direction is Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (ASX: CLW).

Charter Hall Long WALE shares are down 5.6% to $3.81 at the time of writing.

Charter Hall Long WALE is a real estate investment trust (REIT) with a portfolio of properties including logistics warehouses, pubs, service stations, and agribusinesses with long leases in place.

WALE refers to the weighted average lease expiry (WALE). The benefits of long leases include long-term tenants and continuity of rental income with annual rental reviews.

Today, ASX 200 share is falling after the REIT disclosed its FY23 full-year results.

Let's take a look.

A man sits uncomfortably at his laptop computer in an outdoor location at a table with trees in the background as he clutches the back of his neck with a wincing look on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

What's got this ASX 200 share falling today?

Charter Hall Long WALE REIT reported a decline in operating earnings and a statutory loss for FY23.

Here are the key points for FY23:

  • Operating earnings $202.4 million or 28 cents per share (cps) vs $207.2 million or 30.5 cps in FY22
  • Distributions of 28 cps vs 30.5 cps in FY22
  • NTA of $5.63 per share, down from $6.17 per share in FY22
  • Statutory loss of $189 million compared to a $912 million profit in FY22
  • Diversified portfolio valued at $6.8 billion and comprising 549 properties
  • Average rents rose by 5.1% across the portfolio in FY23
  • As of 30 June, 99.9% of assets were occupied and the average WALE was 11.2 years
  • Balance sheet gearing of 32.9%, within the target range of 25% to 35%.

Why will this ASX 200 lower its dividend in FY23 and FY24?

While net property income increased in FY23, operating costs and interest on debt rose by much more.

The portfolio capitalisation rate improved by 36 basis points from 4.41% as at 31 December 2022 to 4.77% as at 30 June 2023. The 'cap rate' is the rate of return based on expected income generated.

However, inflation pushed up operating costs and rising interest rates pushed up financing costs.

Rental increases of 3.1% applied to 49% of leases on fixed review terms, while rental increases of 7.1% on average applied to the 51% of leases that are inflation-indexed.

The portfolio average increase was 5.1%.

The portfolio's net valuation also declined by $363 million over prior book values in FY23.

Put all of this together, and it's why this ASX 200 share is going to pay a lower dividend in FY23.

The REIT also projects an even lower dividend for FY24.

By the way, REITs call their dividends 'distributions'.

The Charter Hall Long WALE REIT is forecasting distributions of 26 cents per share in FY24.

This compares to 28 cents paid in FY23 and 30.5 cents paid in FY22.

Based on the current price of this ASX 200 share, the FY23 dividend represents a 7.35% yield.

What else happened in FY23?

The Charter Hall Long WALE REIT divested $114 million worth of assets, including two industrial assets in Victoria leased to Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) at Hoppers Crossing and Toll in Altona North.

It spent $91 million on a new social infrastructure asset in Canberra, which is currently the headquarters of Geosciences Australia, on a 7.4% initial yield and 9.6-year WALE at acquisition.

Charter Hall announced the Woolworths divestment and Geosciences acquisition on 12 October. This moved the ASX 200 share price up by 0.75% on the day.

The REIT also spent $18 million buying four pubs leased to Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV) on a blended 5% cap rate on 15-year CPI-linked triple net leases (NNN).

What did management say?

Charter Hall Long WALE REIT Fund Manager Avi Anger commented:

In FY23 the CLW portfolio delivered a strong net property income increase of 10.6% driven by like-forlike growth of 4.4%, with the balance driven by acquisition activity.

The portfolio enjoys strong rental growth as a result of the high proportion of CPI-linked leases, high levels of occupancy and quality of tenants.

What's next?

Charter Hall said high interest rates and inflation continue to present headwinds for all A-REITs.

Other key risks include adverse economic conditions and changes in the commercial property sector, including tenants needing less space.

ASX 200 share price history

Charter Hall Long WALE shares are down 13.5% in the year to date.

The ASX 200 share has lost 12.7% of its value over the past 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Earnings Results

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Earnings Results

Macquarie shares slip despite FY26 profit jump

The investment bank had a very strong second half.

Read more »

A smiling man at a shop counter takes payment from a customer, with racks of plants in the background.
Earnings Results

Afterpay and Square owner Block shares jump 6% on strong results

This payments giant has outperformed expectations.

Read more »

Wife and husband with a laptop on a sofa over the moon at good news.
Earnings Results

FleetPartners shares surge 6% on half-year results

Earnings per share (EPS) also saw a strong lift, up 14% to 17.3 cents per share.

Read more »

A disappointed man slumps in his chair and holds his head while playing an online game.
Technology Shares

Why are Light & Wonder shares sinking 11% today?

The gaming technology company's quarterly result wasn't as strong as hoped.

Read more »

Young investor sits at desk looking happy after discovering Westpac's dividend reinvestment plan
Bank Shares

Westpac share price rises on $3.5bn first-half profit

Here's what the banking giant reported this morning.

Read more »

Three happy multi-ethnic business colleagues discuss investment or finance possibilities in an office.
Bank Shares

NAB shares fall despite $3.59 billion cash profit

Here's what the big four bank reported this morning.

Read more »

A couple sits on the bed in their hotel room wearing white robes, both have seen the bad news on their phones.
Earnings Results

What's going on with ResMed shares today?

The sleep disorder treatment company has released its third-quarter update this morning.

Read more »

Woman customer and grocery shopping cart in supermarket store, retail outlet or mall shop. Female shopper pushing trolley in shelf aisle to buy discount groceries, sale goods and brand offers.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Coles shares falling today?

Let's see what the supermarket giant reported for the third quarter.

Read more »