Why is the Bitcoin price outperforming for Australian crypto investors?

The strength of the US dollar is helping Aussie Bitcoin holders see some healthy gains.

| More on:
A woman wearing dark clothing and sporting a few tattoos and piercings holds a phone and a takeaway coffee cup as she strolls under the Sydney Harbour Bridge which looms in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Bitcoin price has outperformed in Aussie dollar terms over the greenback
  • The US dollar has gained against most currencies amid the US Fed’s hawkish tightening policies and its safe haven status
  • Aussie crypto investors getting in at the June lows will have made an 11% gain in Australian dollar terms

The Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price currently stands at US$19,093 (AU$30,474).

That's about where the world's top crypto was trading at yesterday, having hit highs of US$19,241 and a low of US$18,926 over the past 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

This flat performance over the day isn't entirely unwelcome. As you likely know, BTC and almost all cryptos have trended sharply lower over the course of 2022.

Why have cryptos been under so much pressure?

Faced with stiff headwinds from soaring inflation and fast-rising interest rates across much of the globe, the Bitcoin price has plummeted 60% year-to-date. And it's down 72% from the all-time highs it hit on 10 November last year. That's when central banks, including our own RBA, were flagging years more of low inflation and low rates.

That party came to an end this year. A year that has seen the RBA ratchet up rates from the historic low 0.10% to the current 2.60%, with more rate hikes likely ahead in a bid to tame inflation.

The US Federal Reserve has been even more aggressive, raising the benchmark rate in the world's largest economy to the current 3.25%. And looking ahead, Fed officials are sounding a significantly more hawkish tone than RBA governor Philp Lowe.

Which brings us back to the Bitcoin price.

More specifically, the price in US dollars versus Aussie dollars.

Why is the Bitcoin price outperforming for Australian crypto investors?

One of the side effects of the aggressive Fed tightening has been a strengthening of the US dollar against most other global currencies. The greenback has also gained amid rising geopolitical uncertainties due to its haven status.

This has seen the Aussie dollar value slip from 76 US cents in early April to just under 63 US cents today.

Which means Aussie crypto investors selling their holdings for US dollars will be receiving a welcome foreign exchange boost.

Commenting on this relative advantage for Bitcoin investors, head of trading at Capital.com Australia Brian Gould said:

US dollar strength has meant that Australian dollar traders who entered Bitcoin at current price levels in mid-June have actually made a 10% return in four months, should they choose to cash in their coins and convert the US dollar proceeds back to Australian dollars.

Those Australian traders interested in the dual diversification of cryptocurrency returns that have low correlation with equity and commodity markets, as well as the US dollar diversification inherent in cryptocurrencies during uncertain times for inflation and risk assets, are now benefiting by simply holding onto their positions.

Indeed, on 18 June the Aussie dollar was worth 69.3 US cents. Today it's trading for 62.7 US cents.

On 18 June, the Bitcoin price stood at US$19,045, right about where it's trading for today.

That's in US dollars, mind you.

But Aussie crypto investors who bought on 18 June and opt to sell today, will be up 11.5% in Aussie dollar terms.

Mind the gap.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Cryptocurrencies

A man holding a mobile phone walks past some buildings
Cryptocurrencies

The Betashares Crypto Innovators ETF (CRYP) is up 37% in a month. Is it too late to buy?

Looking at the CRYP ETF? Here's my take on whether it's too late to buy.

Read more »

Bitcoin ETF digital illustration.
ETFs

Why is the BetaShares Crypto Innovators ETF (CRYP) surging on Thursday?

Some massive Bitcoin news is lifting this ETF today.

Read more »

A woman holds a bitcoin token in her hand as she smiles at the camera in the background.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin ETF approved. When is it coming to Australia?

Crypto bulls will be celebrating this milestone moment.

Read more »

person dancing in bitcoin spectacles wearing a gold outfit with hands up.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price rockets to 21-month highs. Here's why

The Bitcoin price is now up more than 174% in 12 months.

Read more »

BTC spelt out on wooden blocks with a red sign going down.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price sinks from 21-month high as ETF rumours swirl

What's going on with this cryptocurrency this week?

Read more »

person dancing in bitcoin spectacles wearing a gold outfit with hands up.
Cryptocurrencies

Up 145% in a year, the Bitcoin price just smashed through 18-month highs!

After a horror year in 2022, the Bitcoin price has come roaring back in 2023.

Read more »

Two investors look at a graphic showing a bitcoin in the centre
Cryptocurrencies

Why did the Bitcoin price just hit a 17-month high?

The long-standing cryptocurrency is finding its feet to reclaim a price not seen since May 2022.

Read more »

ETF written in gold with dollar signs on coin.
ETFs

This ASX ETF is up 21% in April so far

How on earth has this ETF smashed the market by a factor of 10?

Read more »