Has 2022 proven Woolworths is a defensive ASX share?

We check whether the supermarket giant has lived up to its reputation as a defensive share.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • We all know 2022 has been a tough year for ASX 200 shares
  • Blue chip Woolworths is often touted as a defensive ASX share
  • But how defensive has it really been over this year?

It's no secret that 2022 thus far has proven to be an exceptionally difficult year for ASX shares. Over the year to date, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is still down by a notable 13.7% or so, even with today's gains. But let's check out how the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price has fared.

Woolworths shares are often held up as 'defensive'. That's probably because Woolworths is a large, mature blue-chip, dividend-paying ASX share that operates in the consumer staples sector of the market. Because the company sells food, drinks, and household goods, it has a reputation as being recession-resistant, inflation resistant, and stable.

This is true to an extent. We all need to eat, drink, and keep our households running, no matter the economic conditions.

But does this truly make Woolworths shares a defensive investment? Let's see how this company has fared over 2022. After all, this year has been dominated by concerns over inflation, interest rates, and a possible looming recession. So it will be interesting to see how Woolies shares have fared amid these concerns, given its defensive reputation.

So Woolworths shares started the year at a share price of $38.01. Today, the company is going for $34.24 a share at the time of writing. That's a year-to-date loss of 9.9%.

That loss is a few percentage points less than what the ASX 200 has delivered over the year so far. Therefore, we can say that Woolworths shares have outperformed the market over 2022 as it currently stands. And, by extension, we can indeed conclude that, at least over this year, Woolworths has been an effective defensive share.

Woman thinking in a supermarket.

Image source: Getty Images

Is the Woolworths share price a 2022 buy?

It could get even better for Woolies investors too. As my Fool colleague James recently discussed, broker Goldman Sachs reckons the Woolworths share price could decisively recover over the next 12 months. This ASX broker currently rates Woolworths shares as a buy, with a 12-month share price target of $41.70. If that came to pass, it would mean an upside of more than 22% from the current share price.

Goldman justified this optimism by noting it is "encouraged by the resilience and superior operations" of Woolworths. The broker expects continuing price growth from the company, which should protect its margins as "COVID costs roll-off and cost efficiencies continue".

No doubt that will come as good news for investors today.

At the current Woolworths share price, this ASX 200 blue chip has a market capitalisation of $41.49 billion, with a dividend yield of 2.75%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Defensive Shares

A banker uses his hands to protect a pile of coins on his desk, indicating a possible inflation hedge.
Defensive Shares

Is it time for investors to turn back to defensive ASX shares?

Here are defensive options to consider.

Read more »

A young bearded man wearing a white t-shirt with a yellow backdrop holds up his arms to his chest and points to the camera in celebration of ASX shares rising today
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend stock up 20% that I'd hold through any market

I think this classic defensive ASX dividend company is a no-brainer buy and long-term hold.

Read more »

A cute little kid in a suit pulls a shocked face as he talks on his smartphone.
Defensive Shares

Why I don't own Telstra shares (yet)

Telstra is holding up, but I see better value elsewhere...

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city.
Defensive Shares

Why I think 'boring' ASX shares could make you richer over time

I believe long-term wealth is built on consistency rather than excitement.

Read more »

Happy woman looking for groceries. as she watches the Coles share price and Woolworths share price on her phone
Defensive Shares

3 reasons to buy Woolworths shares in April

Defensive earnings and steady dividends make this a smart long-term hold.

Read more »

Two mature women learn karate for self defence.
Defensive Shares

How did these ASX defensive shares hold up in March?

Did these stocks save investors during a turbulent March?

Read more »

green arrow rising from within a trolley.
Defensive Shares

Woolworths' $37 share price is near an all-time high, so why am I going to buy some as soon as possible?

Why I still see Woolworths shares as a buy despite trading near all-time highs.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Dividend Investing

2 defensive ASX dividend stocks for reliable income

I'd have these two defensive dividend shares in my portfolio to help hedge against sharemarket volatility.

Read more »