Are undervalued LICs a bargain or a danger sign?

Should you buy undervalued LICs on the ASX or are there more factors that should drive your investment decision making in 2020?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Listed investment companies (LICs) are some of the most popular investments available on the ASX. Many Australians hold managed funds, such as the Australian Foundation Investment Company Ltd (ASX: AFI), in their ASX portfolios, given their strong dividends and solid history. Even The Barefoot Investor himself has been an advocate for LICs over an extended period of time.

But, while popular, many investors don't understand the mechanics of LICs and how they differ from an exchange-traded fund (ETF). Let's take a look at when you should buy and when you should leave the ASX LICs.

When are LICs undervalued?

It has often been a profitable strategy to purchase LICs at a discount to their net asset value (NAV). The idea here is that if the assets of the LIC are valued at more than its market price, they should eventually converge and net you a tidy profit. However, times appear to be changing with a new raft of LICs listing on the ASX in recent years.

An article in the Australian Financial Review (AFR) is warning investors about the potential dangers of ASX LICs. Structuring issues could potentially be to blame as advisors are being incentivised to recommend risky LICs to potential investors. 

What are the risks with LICs?

One big disadvantage of LICs over a simple ETF is the high fees that they attract from active management. ETFs are passively managed, meaning the manager tries to replicate the benchmark index such as the ASX 200 and then leaves the portfolio be.

In contrast, a LIC might try to outperform the benchmark through variations in risk factors relative to the index. In doing so, more trades are required to pivot the portfolio as well as a higher management fee to compensate for the extra work.

LICs may be undervalued when they trade at a discount to NAV but it could also be that the value just isn't there. Particularly for LICs that involve private equity or private debt, asset values can be hard to accurately estimate. In times of distress, market liquidity tightens, which means the liquidity benefits could be lost in a big sell-off.

As noted in the AFR article, Stockspot's analysis found that 95% of LICs invested in Aussie shares failed to beat the market over the last 5 years. Similarly, not one global equities LIC beat their equivalent global market index ETF over the same period.

Is there any upside for LICs?

It's not all bad for LICs and investments such as AFIC can offer a great, high-yield dividend investment. The liquidity offered on the ASX is a great benefit, as well as gaining access to otherwise wholesale-only money managers.

Motley Fool contributor Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ⏸️ Dividend Shares

A boy hold money and dressed in business suit next to money bags on a desk, indicating a dividends windfall
⏸️ Dividend Shares

The Accent (ASX:AX1) dividend has lifted by 22%

The company will reward shareholders with an increased dividend...

Read more »

a woman sits in the driver's seat of a car with her arm resting on the door with a small smile on her face, looking out of the car.
⏸️ Dividend Shares

Carsales (ASX:CAR) share price records a modest rise on dividend slash

Australia's largest online automotive and marine classifieds business notches a conservative share price rise on its latest report.

Read more »

A young entrepreneur boy catching money at his desk, indicating growth in the ASX share price or dividends
Bank Shares

ASX 200 bank shares to follow suit after CBA dividend hike: expert

Dividend investors rejoice! This expert expects more dividends to come from ASX 200 bank shares...

Read more »

sad looking petroleum worker standing next to oil drill
Share Fallers

AGL (ASX:AGL) dividend slashed. Share price down 3% on Thursday

More headwinds for the energy giant as its dividend is now in the spotlight.

Read more »

A girl looks through a microscope at money.
⏸️ Dividend Shares

The ANZ (ASX:ANZ) share price has only gained 10% in 5 years. But have the dividends paid off?

We do the math to see if it has been worth investing in ANZ shares over the long term...

Read more »

man laying on his couch with bundles of money and extremely ecstatic about high dividend returns
⏸️ Dividend Shares

The NAB (ASX:NAB) share price is flat 5 years on. But have the dividends paid off?

We calculate if it has been worth investing in NAB shares over the long run...

Read more »

two children dressed in business attire with joyous, wide-mouthed expressions count money at a desk covered in cash and sacks of money either side.
⏸️ Dividend Shares

Top-10 ASX dividend share delivers market-thumping share price gains

The Holy Grail for income stocks is to return strong capital gains as well

Read more »

happy woman looking at her laptop with notes of money coming out representing financial success and a rising share price and dividend yield
⏸️ Dividend Shares

Mining shares in the ASX 200 might unearth US$26b worth of dividends

Are shareholders about to dig some dividends?

Read more »