CSL shares could pop 9% on surprising results if history repeats itself

Investors don't quite know what to do with the biotech giant ahead of its half-year results on Tuesday morning.

| More on:
Shot of a scientist using a computer while conducting research in a laboratory.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) results are due out Tuesday morning, and it could be a huge day of trading for the healthcare stock.

Already on Monday CSL shares plunged more than more than 5% at one stage after unfavourable test results for its CSL112 drug were disclosed.

History suggests, though, that if the latest financial figures look good, CSL shares could more than wipe out that loss plus more.

Biotech stocks can swing wildly

This time two years ago, CSL's report revealed that it had implemented efficiencies in its plasma collection network while it was dormant during the COVID-19 pandemic.

That news, a US$1.7 billion half-year profit, and a confirmation of its forward guidance sent the share price soaring 8.5% that day.

For a huge biotechnology company like CSL, it doesn't take much to get the market excited enough to move the dial on valuation.

So there is no reason why this can't happen again this Tuesday.

eToro market analyst Josh Gilbert noted that CSL's 2023 financial results had been well received by investors, sending the share price 10% higher since last reporting season.

"Shareholders were pleased with the healthcare giant's FY23 results, where revenue growth went up 31% year-over-year to US$13.31 billion, and the company's FY24 guidance continued to hold firm," he said.

"CSL's projected underlying profit range of US$2.9 billion to US$3 billion for FY24 has provided reassurance to investors eagerly anticipating the company's half-year results."

Everyone craving direction on CSL shares

One risk highlighted recently was regulatory developments coming out of Europe.

"The company's share price faced a decline [last] week following news of a UK investigation into alleged anti-competitive behaviour from CSL Vifor. 

"If found guilty, CSL faces potential fines and reputational damage, which may impact the company's FY24 results."

Considering the mixed signals, investors will be seeking some sort of firm direction on Tuesday morning.

"They are keen to ascertain whether CSL has sustained its course toward recovery following the turbulence its share price experienced in 2023."

Professional investors are still pretty keen on CSL shares, with 12 out of 14 analysts currently rating the healthcare giant as a buy.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A happy young couple lie on a wooden deck using a skateboard for a pillow.
Healthcare Shares

Why is the ResMed share price surging again and up 14% in two sessions?

A recent update has gone down exceptionally well with investors.

Read more »

A doctor or medical expert in COVID protection adjusts her glasses, indicating growth or strong share price movement in ASX medical, biotech and health companies
Healthcare Shares

Here is the dividend forecast to 2028 for CSL shares

Are investors going to get healthy dividends from this stock?

Read more »

Two happy scientists analysing test results in a lab
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

ASX healthcare shares were strongest among the 11 market sectors last week.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Healthcare Shares

ResMed share price jumps 10% on strong quarterly update

ResMed has impressed the market with its third-quarter update.

Read more »

Happy healthcare workers in a labs
Healthcare Shares

Up 74% in 6 months, guess which ASX 200 healthcare stock just hit another all-time high

This company has busily deployed cash over the past six months while growing at a phenomenal pace.

Read more »

medical asx share price represented by doctor giving thumbs up
Healthcare Shares

Broker says this ASX biotech stock could almost double in value

Bell Potter is feeling very bullish about this risky stock.

Read more »

drug capsule opening up to reveal dollar signs signifying rising asx share price
Share Gainers

If you invested $6,000 in Mesoblast shares a month ago you'd have $15,636 now!

Mesoblast shares have been on a tear this past month. But why?

Read more »

Woman going for a scan reassured by doctor
Healthcare Shares

How AI could boost this ASX 300 healthcare stock

The Firetrail investment management team see AI providing a 'material tailwind' for this stock.

Read more »