Why is the Coles share price smashing the ASX 200 this year?

Investors have been fighting to get hold of this supermarket giant's shares this year.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The market may be tumbling again on Thursday, but that hasn't stopped the Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price from pushing higher.

At the time of writing, the supermarket giant's shares are up 0.5% to $17.79.

This means the Coles share price is now up 6.5% since the start of the year, which compares favourably to the performance of the ASX 200 index.

The benchmark index is down 1.2% year to date, which means an outperformance of almost 8%.

Happy man on a supermarket trolley full of groceries with a woman standing beside him.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Coles share price outperforming?

There are a couple of reasons why the Coles share price is outperforming the market this year.

The first is the release of the company's half-year results last month, which went down well with the market.

Coles reported a 3.9% increase in sales revenue to $20.8 billion and an 11.4% jump in net profit after tax to $643 million. This allowed the company's board to declare a 36 cent per share interim dividend, which was up 9.1% year over year.

Also giving the Coles share price a boost has been its defensive qualities. In times of heightened economic and market volatility, companies with defensive earnings appeal to risk averse investors.

Coles has these qualities in spates. You only need to look at its performance during the pandemic to see this.

Can its shares keep rising?

The good news is that one leading broker believes there's still plenty more upside left in the Coles share price.

According to a recent note out of Citi, its analysts have a buy rating and $20.20 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of almost 14% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, Citi is forecasting fully franked dividends of 69 cents per share in FY 2023 and 71 cents per share in FY 2024. This represents attractive yields of 3.9% and 4%, respectively, which make the total potential return on offer with its shares even more sweeter.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A happy young woman in a red t-shirt hold up two delicious burritos.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why I'd still buy Guzman Y Gomez shares after its big rise

GYG has won back investors with tasty growth. I think it’s still a buy.

Read more »

A smiling man take a big bite out of a burrito
Dividend Investing

Everything you need to know about the Guzman Y Gomez dividend

Owning GYG shares could be a rewarding choice for dividends.

Read more »

a fashionable older woman walks side by side with a stylish younger woman in a street setting as they both smile at something they are talking about.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Accent Group reports FY26 results

Accent Group posts FY26 results with steady sales, a non-cash impairment impacting profits, and ongoing investment in growth initiatives.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Earnings Results

Inghams Group FY26 earnings: volume growth, headwinds, and FY27 outlook

The poultry producer declared a final dividend of 6.1 cents per share.

Read more »

A smiling man take a big bite out of a burrito
Earnings Results

Guzman y Gomez delivers record FY26 results, launches new buyback

The burrito seller has released its results this morning. Here's what it reported.

Read more »

Cheerful girl deciding between tops in a stylish boutique.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why this ASX consumer discretionary stock could be the pick of the sector 

This stock could be a must buy after results.

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Earnings Results

PWR Holdings reports record FY26 earnings and European expansion

PWR Holdings delivered record revenue and profit in FY26, and is set to expand into Europe with a new site…

Read more »

Woman checking bottle expiry dates.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is the Coles share price good value?

I think Coles' recent investments could start doing more for earnings from here.

Read more »