Rio Tinto shares: Buy, hold or fold in February?

ASX 200 investors who bought Rio Tinto shares on 1 November have seen the miner's stock soar by more than 37%.

| More on:
A young investor working on his ASX shares portfolio on his laptop

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are up 1.12% in lunchtime trade, going for $124.32 apiece.

That intraday lift sees shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) miner up 7% so far in 2023.

Atop the potential for share price gains, Rio Tinto also pays a fully franked trailing dividend yield of 7.7%.

Of course, there are no guarantees that Rio Tinto will deliver that same kind of passive income in the year ahead. Nor that its share price will keep marching higher.

So what's an ASX 200 investor to do?

Buy, hold or fold?

In the fold camp, we have Argonaut analyst Harrison Massey (courtesy of The Bull).

Among his concerns, Massey cites the massive 39% leap in the Rio Tinto share price over the past three months of trading.

"The share price of this global miner has risen from $90.49 on November 1, 2022 to trade at $125.57 on February 2, 2023," he said.

The miner's performance is also highly dependent on the price of iron ore and copper. Both industrial metals have seen big price lifts since early November. But demand could slide should global recession fears come to fruition.

"Despite the company typically paying attractive dividends, it may be prudent for investors to consider taking a profit around these levels," Massey said. "Ongoing concerns about a global economic slowdown may impact iron ore spot prices in the medium term."

But not everyone believes Rio Tinto shares are ones to fold in February.

Included in that buy camp are the analysts at Goldman Sachs.

Following on from the ASX 200 miner's quarterly update in January, the broker retained its buy rating and increased its price target for Rio Tinto to $134.40 per share. That's some 8% above the current share price.

Among reasons to be bullish on the stock, Goldman's analysts cited the miner's record iron ore production and its guidance for a 15% increase in mined copper production for the full year.

How have Rio Tinto shares performed longer-term?

As you can see in the chart below, thanks to the strong performance since early November, Rio Tinto shares are up 8% over the past 12 months.

Investors who bought shares five years ago will be sitting on gains of 62%.

And those figures don't include dividends.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 uranium stock Boss Energy surges on copper news

Boss Energy is best known for its Honeymoon uranium project. Now copper and gold have joined the menu.

Read more »

People sitting in rows in a meeting with one person holding their hand up as if to ask a question.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Buying BHP shares? Here's what's happening with the Anglo American takeover

BHP’s Mike Henry and Anglo American’s Duncan Wanblad are manoeuvring for shareholder approval.

Read more »

two hands shake in close up at the side of a mine. One party is wearing high visibility gear and there is earth and heavy moving equipment in the background.
Resources Shares

Why more ASX mining shares could soon turn to takeover bids

The rush of mining shares merging on the ASX is a good thing, says this expert.

Read more »

Woman with $50 notes in her hand thinking, symbolising dividends.
Resources Shares

Should you buy Fortescue shares for that fat 8% dividend yield?

More than one expert reckons Fortescue's dividends are looking shaky.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Mergers & Acquisitions

BHP share price slides amid no deal on 'compelling opportunity'

BHP’s Mike Henry responded to Anglo American’s rejection of the improved takeover deal.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Share Gainers

'Ideally positioned': Why this ASX copper stock just rocketed 57%

Investors are snapping up shares in the ASX copper stock on Monday. But why?

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Why these ASX mining shares have 'got some huge advantages': Chalmers

Tomorrow’s Federal budget could offer a welcome boost for these ASX mining shares.

Read more »

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
Resources Shares

Copper and uranium: 2 ASX mining stocks to buy

Analysts at Bell Potter think these miners are buys right now.

Read more »