Is this why investors are selling down the Core Lithium share price today?

This lithium share is out of favour with investors on Tuesday…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) share price has run out of steam on Tuesday.

At the time of writing, the lithium developer's shares are down 4% to $1.18.

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Core Lithium share price falling?

There appears to be a couple of catalysts for the weakness in the Core Lithium share price today.

One is broad selling in the lithium space this morning, which has seen the likes of Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) and Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) also drop into the red.

The other reason could be a broker note out of Goldman Sachs today.

According to the note, the broker has reiterated its sell rating and 95 cents price target on the company's shares. Based on where Core Lithium shares currently trade, this implies potential downside of 20% for investors over the next 12 months.

Why is Goldman bearish?

While Goldman Sachs was pleased with the progress the company is making with its Finniss project, it isn't enough for a more positive view. Particularly given the wet weather the company has been facing.

In response to the wet weather, the broker has lowered its "expectations for additional DSO cargos."

But the main reason it is bearish is the Core Lithium share price, which Goldman believes is significantly overvalued. The broker explained:

Our FY23 EPS is down -9% on minor adjustments to our FY23E production ramp up profile, where we also lower our expectations for additional DSO cargos, with our NAV down ~4% to A$0.80/sh and our 12m PT unchanged at A$0.95/sh. We rate CXO a Sell on: 1) Valuation at 1.5x NAV (peer average ~1.2x; on GSe LT US$1,000/t spodumene), pricing in ~US$2,250/t (peer average ~US$1,300/t) or implying current pricing persists for ~2 years (peer average ~1 year), while also having the lowest average operating FCF/t LCE, 2) Large resource upside required, and 3) Production risk.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Allkem. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Businessman looks with one eye through magnifying glass.
Materials Shares

Forget Rio Tinto shares and buy this ASX copper miner

Bell Potter is predicting big returns from this copper stock.

Read more »

A wide-smiling businessman in suit and tie rips open his shirt to reveal a green t-shirt underneath.
Materials Shares

This $1 billion ASX lithium stock is in the spotlight today. Here's why

Core Lithium shares are on the move after striking another deal to sell lithium stockpiles.

Read more »

Man ecstatic after reading good news.
Materials Shares

This ASX 200 copper stock is pushing higher on record profits

It was a solid quarter for this miner. Here's what it reported.

Read more »

A shocked man holding some documents in the living room.
Materials Shares

Broker tips this ASX materials stock to rise 139% after yesterday's crash

This miner could be set to rocket.

Read more »

Meeting taking place amongst members of a board.
Materials Shares

CFO quits within weeks as this ASX 200 stock keeps sliding. What on earth is going on?

IGO shares fall again as the new CFO exits within weeks.

Read more »

Two mining workers on a laptop at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX stock just came out of a trading halt and jumped 8% today

Tivan shares jump 8% after the release of the scoping study for Molyhil.

Read more »

Man looking happy and excited as he looks at his mobile phone.
Materials Shares

Forget Lynas shares, this ASX rare earths stock could rise 75%

Bell Potter thinks this rare earths stock is cheap. Here's what it is saying.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds an arm in the air in triumph while also holding a graphic of a fully-charged battery in her other hand.
Materials Shares

PLS shares are flying again. Here's why they're near record highs

PLS shares are once again on the move.

Read more »