Could the Lynas share price have another 15% upside from here?

One broker believes the rare earths producer could have a substantial upside.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Amid the broker giving Lynas a healthy price target and a buy rating, other experts also agree the company holds potential
  • One key reason is that Lynas is one of the few rare earth producers outside of China
  • Geopolitical tensions as well as the strong outlook for its produce could help stabilise its share price higher

The Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price gained 3.72% in today's trading session.

Shares of the rare earths producer ended the day at $8.64 each.

Lynas's share price could have received a boost by movements of the materials sector, which was the best-performing sector on the ASX on Tuesday.

The S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) finished 2.64% higher. For comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) closed up 1.65%.

Meanwhile, a few of Lynas's peers also received a boost this afternoon. Here's a look at how these companies performed:

  • BlueScope Steel Limited (ASX: BSL) up 2.73%
  • Incitec Pivot Ltd (ASX: IPL) up 2.4%
  • OZ Minerals Limited (ASX: OZL) up 0.58%

So while Lynas's share price movement could arguably be chalked up to movements by the broader market, there is also some evidence to suggest that the company could have as much as a 15% upside in the future.

This is according to a broker note published by UBS this afternoon. So let's cover what the broker said as well as some other expert commentary the company has received in the recent past.

A young woman holds her hand to her mouth in surprise as she reads something on her laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

Experts think Lynas shares could be on the rise

A UBS broker gave Lynas shares a price target of $9.95 as well as a buy rating on Tuesday, thus warranting the 15% potential upside.

One expert, BW Equities salesperson Tim Bleakley, agrees with the broker that Lynas could be ripe for the picking.

As the Fool reported earlier today, Bleakley praised Lynas's outlook, FY22 result, and crucially the fact that it's one of the few rare earth producers outside of China.

As an aside from Bleakley's comments, China's mounting aggression towards Taiwan could make rare earth producers outside of China such as Lynas and Arafura Resources Limited (ASX: ARU) much more valuable to the world economy as geopolitical tensions escalate.

This is according to comments contained in Arafura's most recent quarterly activities report in which its geographics were stated as being one of its key advantages.

On a different note, Lynas expects strong demand for its neodymium and praseodymium output in the future. This is despite its quarterly sales revenue falling 44% in its quarterly activities report for Q1 FY23.

Lynas share price snapshot

The Lynas share price is down 16% year to date but up 14% over the past year.

Meanwhile, the ASX 200 is down around 7% and 6% over the same periods.

The company's market capitalisation is around $7.53 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Matthew Farley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Resources Shares

2 ASX 200 mining shares this fund manager is backing for long-term growth

Blackwattle is invested in the ASX 200's largest diversified miner and its biggest lithium producer.

Read more »

Two mining workers on a laptop at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Buying ASX 200 mining shares? Here's how Rio Tinto, Fortescue and BHP stacked up in March

Buying Rio Tinto, Fortescue, or BHP shares? Here’s how the ASX mining stocks performed in March’s sinking market.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Why are shares in this ASX copper developer surging more than 45%?

A deal for a major funding package has been struck.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Resources Shares

Northern Star Resources posts Q3 gold sales, on track for FY26

Northern Star Resources sold 381,000 ounces of gold in Q3 FY26, keeping its production guidance in sight.

Read more »

A group of people in suits and hard hats celebrate the rising share price with champagne.
Resources Shares

$7,500 invested in Rio Tinto shares 10 days ago is now worth…

The miner's shares crashed 15% in the first three weeks of March.

Read more »

An executive stands looking out a glass window over the city.
Resources Shares

Why this ASX 200 stock just jumped 5% on Wednesday

Perenti shares are up 5% after naming a new Chief Executive.

Read more »

Smiling miner.
Resources Shares

3 reasons why the Rio Tinto share price could be a buy

Let’s unearth why Rio Tinto could be an opportunity worth digging into.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Resources Shares

Up more than 90% over the past year, analysts say this ASX copper stock can keep going

Canaccord Genuity says this is a copper stock to watch.

Read more »