Has the Bitcoin price found a floor?

Something rather remarkable has been happening with the world's original crypto over the past week.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Bitcoin price has gained 5% over the week
  • The NASDAQ is down 1.5% over that same period
  • The world’s first crypto could be breaking its correlation with risk assets as speculators lose their pricing influence

The Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price is up 4% over the past 24 hours.

One bitcoin token is currently trading for US$19,555 (AU$30,132).

While that's still below the psychologically important US$20,000 level, something rather remarkable has been happening with the world's original crypto over the past week.

Namely, the Bitcoin price appears to be breaking away from the strongly correlated moves it's had with risk assets, like tech stocks, this year.

a close up of a woman's face looks skywards as she is showered in a sea of graphic symbols of gold and silver coins bearing the bitcoin logo.

Image source: Getty Images

Has the Bitcoin price found a floor?

Cryptos are notoriously volatile.

And Bitcoin is no exception.

So far in 2022, the token has almost always mirrored the moves on the tech-heavy NASDAQ, only amplified. When the NASDAQ has gained 5% on dovish noises from the US Federal Reserve, Bitcoin has often gained 10%, or more.

The same pattern can be observed, with significant consistency, in reverse. Meaning any 5% loss posted by the NASDAQ has tended to see the Bitcoin price fall by a good bit more this year.

But this pattern has broken over the past week, potentially signalling the token has found a supportive floor.

You see, since last Wednesday's closing bell (Thursday morning Aussie time), the NASDAQ has dropped 1.5%.

But the Bitcoin price hasn't followed suit. Instead, it's up 5%.

What are the experts saying?

Stephane Ouellette, chief executive of FRNT Financial Inc, said the Bitcoin price could be decoupling from other risk assets as speculator influence appears to be waning.

According to Ouellette (quoted by Bloomberg), "Followers of the ecosystem have been excited to see correlations with risk assets begin to break, meaning the 'fast-money' speculative crowd may be losing their influence on the space."

Billionaire Mike Novogratz, founder of Galaxy Digital Holdings, believes that fewer forced sellers in the crypto space has led to renewed resilience.

According to Novogratz:

We're in this weird equilibrium where there are a few buyers, there are a few sellers, and there's not that energy in the market like you're seeing in the equity market or the bond market where you have to sell, right?

With the Bitcoin price bucking the wider tech selling pressure over the past full week, we'll be watching to see if this 'weird equilibrium' is a flash in the pan or a new longer-term trend.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

The CBA share price crash was an accident waiting to happen. Here's why

CBA shares still aren't anywhere near cheap.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, Life360, and Macquarie shares

Let's find out what Morgans is saying about these shares this week.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, and holding a mobile phone in his other hand.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Bega Cheese, Kogan, Macquarie shares

Experts explain their ratings on three companies.

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price on her laptop with green and red points in the background.
Broker Notes

4 ASX All Ords shares expected to rise 65% to 95% in a year

The ASX All Ords Index may be in the red for 2026 but experts say some stocks are set to…

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares upgraded by brokers this week

Let's see why analysts have turned more positive on these shares.

Read more »

Machinery at a mine site.
Record Highs

Rio Tinto shares hit fresh all-time high. Can they keep going?

The miner's shares have continued rallying higher on Thursday.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Bapcor, Coles, Graincorp, and Xero shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a poor session on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Why Eagers Automotive and Technology One shares just got a big buy call

A leading analyst expects Eagers Automotive and Technology One shares to outperform. But why?

Read more »