Are NAB shares a better ASX 200 bank to buy than CBA right now?

Is it even one or the other, or none?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Both NAB and CBA shares have seen de-ratings from brokers lately
  • Both shares have also been traded down on the chart
  • Bank shares in general have been plagued with risk in FY22

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is edging higher today, currently up 0.79% to $29.86.

Bank stocks have been somewhat of a mixed bag this year after first reaching for the stars in January.

For NAB, it nudged a 52-week high of $33.60 on 22 April, before faltering to a 52-week low of $25.92 by 17 June.

It has since made a recovery and retraced a good portion of that downside. However, questions remain on where NAB shares might head next.

Young woman thinking with laptop open.

Image source: Getty Images

Are NAB shares the better buy?

The NAB share price is in fairly good steed with the group of analysts providing coverage. According to Refinitiv Eikon data, five out of 15 brokers rate it a buy right now, compared to nine saying it's a hold, and one a sell.

This is down from 10 out of 16 brokers voting it a buy a few months ago back in June.

Still, the consensus price target from this list is $31.24, implying a small amount of upside potential should the group be correct.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs are more bullish than this target, and valued NAB at $34.63 per share in a recent note.

It also forecasted $1.50 per share in dividends for the coming 12 months, with a rise to $1.70 per share the year after.

Meanwhile, things aren't so rosy over in the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) camp. For comparison's sake, the rival bank has no buy ratings, and nine out of 16 brokers say it's a sell.

Shares are also down 5% this year to date after turning sharply off a relief rally from the June bounce in equities.

CBA also trades on a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 17.76 times at the time of writing, whereas NAB is priced at a slight discount to this at 15.11 times P/E.

Hence NAB has greater momentum on the chart, brokers say there is buying potential, and it trades at a discount to its rival in this instance.

CBA doesn't get there with a number of external factors to bake into the investment debate as well.

Based on the culmination of this data, it would appear the NAB share price is the better buy right now. However, this also comes down to one's personal investing style and, more importantly, risk budget.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Bank Shares

Buying Macquarie shares? Here's the dividend yield you'll get today

Macquarie isn't your ordinary ASX bank stock.

Read more »

Excited group of friends watching sports on TV and celebrating.
Bank Shares

Macquarie shares climb to fresh all-time high: Buy, sell or hold?

Macquarie shares are now 23% higher for the year to date.

Read more »

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Dividend Investing

If I invest $5,000 in CBA shares today, what passive income would I get in FY27?

Here's your potential income based on the latest dividend forecasts.

Read more »

Businesswoman working from home with stock market chart showing percent change on her laptop screen.
Bank Shares

Should I invest $5,000 into NAB shares?

This major ASX bank share has fallen a long way from its high, but I think the market may be…

Read more »

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

What does the RBA decision mean for the big four bank shares?

Here's what to expect for ASX bank shares after yesterday's decision.

Read more »

Gold piggy bank on top of Australian notes.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2027 for CBA shares

CBA has been one of the most reliable blue-chips for dividends.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes around a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Is the Westpac share price a buy in June?

Is this a good time to invest in the bank?

Read more »

A young man in a blue suit sits on his desk cross-legged with his phone in his hand looking slightly crazed.
Broker Notes

Here's what brokers tip for CBA shares over the next 12 months

Brokers look pretty bearish about CBA shares over the next 12 months.

Read more »