Are NAB shares a better ASX 200 bank to buy than CBA right now?

Is it even one or the other, or none?

| More on:
Young woman using computer laptop with hand on chin thinking about question, pensive expression.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Both NAB and CBA shares have seen de-ratings from brokers lately
  • Both shares have also been traded down on the chart
  • Bank shares in general have been plagued with risk in FY22

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is edging higher today, currently up 0.79% to $29.86.

Bank stocks have been somewhat of a mixed bag this year after first reaching for the stars in January.

For NAB, it nudged a 52-week high of $33.60 on 22 April, before faltering to a 52-week low of $25.92 by 17 June.

It has since made a recovery and retraced a good portion of that downside. However, questions remain on where NAB shares might head next.

Are NAB shares the better buy?

The NAB share price is in fairly good steed with the group of analysts providing coverage. According to Refinitiv Eikon data, five out of 15 brokers rate it a buy right now, compared to nine saying it's a hold, and one a sell.

This is down from 10 out of 16 brokers voting it a buy a few months ago back in June.

Still, the consensus price target from this list is $31.24, implying a small amount of upside potential should the group be correct.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs are more bullish than this target, and valued NAB at $34.63 per share in a recent note.

It also forecasted $1.50 per share in dividends for the coming 12 months, with a rise to $1.70 per share the year after.

Meanwhile, things aren't so rosy over in the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) camp. For comparison's sake, the rival bank has no buy ratings, and nine out of 16 brokers say it's a sell.

Shares are also down 5% this year to date after turning sharply off a relief rally from the June bounce in equities.

CBA also trades on a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 17.76 times at the time of writing, whereas NAB is priced at a slight discount to this at 15.11 times P/E.

Hence NAB has greater momentum on the chart, brokers say there is buying potential, and it trades at a discount to its rival in this instance.

CBA doesn't get there with a number of external factors to bake into the investment debate as well.

Based on the culmination of this data, it would appear the NAB share price is the better buy right now. However, this also comes down to one's personal investing style and, more importantly, risk budget.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Person holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Here's the NAB dividend forecast through to 2028

Where is this bank's dividend heading in the coming years?

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Earnings Results

Macquarie share price tumbles on FY24 profit crunch

It certainly was a tough year for the investment bank. Let's see what happened.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Bank Shares

Are NAB shares a buy following the bank's results?

Let's see what Goldman Sachs is saying about the big four bank.

Read more »

Confident male executive dressed in a dark blue suit leans against a doorway with his arms crossed in the corporate office
Bank Shares

Own ANZ shares? Here's your first-half results preview

Will ANZ announce a buyback with its half-year results?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

After hitting all-time highs in March, why did the CBA share price tumble 5% in April?

After hitting new record highs in March, the CBA share price retreated in April. But why?

Read more »

A male ASX investor on the street wearing a grey suit clenches his fist and yells yes after seeing on his ipad that the Paladin share price is going up again today
Dividend Investing

Here's everything you need to know about the NAB dividend

NAB reported its half-year results this morning and announced its interim dividend payout.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

NAB share price pushes higher on 'in line' $3.5b half-year profit

NAB delivered on expectations during the first half. And also gave shareholders a big reward.

Read more »

Happy man at an ATM.
Bank Shares

NAB shares on watch following half-year results and $1.5b buyback

How did this big four bank perform during the half?

Read more »