My top Warren Buffett stock to buy right now

This stock is a bit different to Buffett's typical holdings.

| More on:
Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway Warren Buffett

Image source: The Motley Fool

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

When investors think of stocks Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) (NYSE: BRK.B) owns, they probably think of value-focused investing. For the most part, they'd be right. Berkshire's top holdings are Apple (39%, a value play in 2016 when he first bought the stock), Bank of America (11%), Chevron (8%), and American Express (7%). However, there's at least one stock in the Berkshire that doesn't fall under this umbrella and it excites me the most.

Snowflake (NYSE: SNOW) is a fast-growing tech company that Berkshire Hathaway purchased as pre-IPO shares. Even though the investment only makes up 0.2% of Berkshire's portfolio, Berkshire still has a nearly 2% stake in the company. Why would Buffett take a position in Snowflake when it doesn't fit his investing style? Just like me, Buffett sees vast potential in Snowflake.

Snowflake's product is beloved by its customers

Snowflake is a data cloud company that allows its customers to harness the power of the data that businesses generate. It offers solutions to store the data, process it, and utilize the information to drive modeling and other applications.

Because Snowflake is platform agnostic, customers can utilize any major cloud computing providers (Amazon's AWS, Alphabet's Google Cloud, Microsoft's Azure, and others), allowing them to spread data over multiple platforms. This diversification prevents clients from being locked into unreasonable contracts and allows customers to utilize each cloud platform's strong points.

Another attractive feature of Snowflake is its pay-as-you-go pricing. Customers can turn off Snowflake's computational power at will and pay for the exact amount of data storage they need. Of course, this model has its risks, as an economic downturn may cause clients to reduce their spending. However, with how engrained Snowflake's platform is in harvesting and processing data, many users are locked into using Snowflake in good times and bad.

Furthermore, customers love Snowflake. It reported a 100% Dresner customer satisfaction score for the fifth-straight year and sported a net promoter score (NPS) of 68 (for reference, Apple's is 54). The NPS measures how much a company is promoted by its customers by surveying 100 customers on a 0 to 10 scale. On the scale are three categories of people: promoters (score 9-10, +1 to NPS), passives (score 7-8, 0 to NPS), and detractors (score 0-6, -1 NPS). The scores are added to find the final NPS. Anything over 50 is excellent, and 80 is world-class.

With Snowflake's score of 68, it's clear its customers are active promoters. But while the company provides a fantastic and necessary product, how are the financials?

Strong growth but weak profitability

Snowflake's growth is nothing short of impressive. For the first quarter of the fiscal year 2023 (ended April 30, 2022), quarterly revenue was up 84% year over year to $394 million with a gross margin of 72%. Because of its usage-based model, Snowflake's retention rate was an incredible 174%, which means customers spent $1.74 for every $1 spent in last year's quarter.  

Another exciting development for Snowflake is its large customers (those that spend more than $1 million annually with Snowflake). These rose 98% year over year to 206. Snowflake's total customers also grew 40% year over year to 6,322. However, it still has a large market to penetrate, as only 506 of the Forbes Global 2000 are Snowflake customers.

Snowflake has one thorn in its side: unprofitability. Snowflake's operating margin was an abysmal negative 45%. If stock-based compensation is backed out, Snowflake is barely profitable.

Investors shouldn't overlook Snowflake's heavy stock-based compensation bill because the share count rose nearly 8% year over year. This rise dilutes shareholders in a similar manner that inflation affects consumers. However, stock-based compensation is a non-cash expense, meaning the business is free cash flow (FCF) positive.

Sporting an impressive 41% FCF margin means Snowflake turned 41% of revenue into cash on the balance sheet during the quarter. This transformation is vital when heading into a potential recession, as Snowflake can survive without external funding.

Like other tech stocks, Snowflake's stock valuation has come tumbling down over the past few months. Once north of 100 times sales (it's hard to justify a valuation that high for any company), it now trades for around 27 times sales. While this isn't cheap, it's not a terrible price for a rapidly growing FCF-positive company.

Despite the stock's near 70% price tumble from its all-time high, Buffett is still invested in this revolutionary tech company. While he hasn't added to his position, it wouldn't surprise me if Berkshire makes a small addition sometime soon. If Snowflake can control its stock-based compensation and work toward profitability, this stock could provide outstanding performance in a portfolio over the next decade.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. American Express is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet (C shares) and Snowflake Inc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Apple, Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), Microsoft, and Snowflake Inc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2023 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple, short January 2023 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), short January 2023 $265 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), and short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet (A shares), Alphabet (C shares), Apple, and Berkshire Hathaway (B shares). The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
International Stock News

What exactly does Nvidia do?

You know the name, but do you know what the company actually does?

Read more »

Blue electric vehicle on a green rising arrow with a charger hanging out.
International Stock News

Tesla share price jumps 13% as Elon throws a Hail Mary

Profits almost halved and investors are scrambling to buy shares. Make it make sense.

Read more »

A young woman sits on her lounge looking pleasantly surprised at what she's seeing on her laptop screen as she reads about the South32 share price
International Stock News

2 US artificial intelligence (AI) stocks that could beat Nvidia in the coming decades

These two companies are on track to benefit from the adoption of AI in big industries.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
International Stock News

Is it too late to buy Nvidia stock?

Nvidia stock has soared over 220% in the last year, but now could still be as good a time as…

Read more »

A woman holds a soldering tool as she sits in front of a computer screen while working on the manufacturing of technology equipment in a laboratory environment.
International Stock News

Up nearly 80% this year, does Nvidia stock have room for more?

Nvidia's stock added a lot of its gains the day after Q4 earnings.

Read more »

Piggy bank on an electric charger.
International Stock News

If you'd invested $1,000 in Tesla stock 5 years ago, here's how much you'd have today

Tesla bears may not have noticed it, but Tesla profits are forecast to 3x over the next five years.

Read more »

Businessman using a digital tablet with a graphical chart, symbolising the stock market.
International Stock News

Bull vs. bear: Can the S&P 500 keep rising in 2024?

We review the bull and bear case for the S&P 500 this year.

Read more »

woman with coffee on phone with Tesla
International Stock News

Why Tesla stock put pedal to metal today

Tesla's robotaxi is coming in August.

Read more »