Is the Transurban (ASX:TCL) share price in the buy zone for income investors?

Time to buy Transurban shares?

| More on:
ASX dividend shares represented by cash in jeans back pocket

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price has continued to trade sideways this month.

This has largely been the case all year, with the toll road operator's shares up just 1% in 2021.

Can the Transurban share price climb higher?

The team at Morgans believe there's room for the Transurban share price to push higher from here. Together with its attractive and growing dividend yield, the broker appears to believe this make it a good option for income investors.

According to a note, its analysts have retained their add rating but trimmed their price target on the company's shares to $14.57.

Based on the current Transurban share price, this implies a return of 6% for investors before dividends and 8.5% including the 35 cents per share dividend the broker is forecasting in FY 2022.

Though, it is worth noting that Morgans expects a big increase in Transurban's dividend the following year to 55.2 cents. This represents a far more generous yield of 4% for investors.

What did the broker say?

Morgans notes that Transurban has reached an agreement with the Victorian Government and the CPB John Holland Joint Venture on revised terms for the delivery of the West Gate Tunnel Project (WGPT).

This will see Transurban contribute an additional $2 billion to the WGTP across FY 2023 to FY 2026, which is $0.9 billion above what Morgans had previously assumed.

And while it thinks the size of Transurban's "financial contribution to complete the WGTP will be disappointing for investors, resolution of the dispute removes a major uncertainty."

Furthermore, the broker believes the "NPV impact is partly reduced by the later phasing of the spend and also by the increased tax depreciation shield it creates until concession end."

Why invest?

Morgans remains positive on the future and notes that there are a number of trends that are supportive of Transurban's growth.

It explained: "We view TCL as a high quality pure-play toll road infrastructure portfolio benefitting from employment and population growth, urbanisation, and the value of time, with particular exposure to the east coast capital cities in Australia."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Dividend Investing

A young female investor sits in her home office looking at her ipad and smiling as she sees the QBE share price rising
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend stocks that brokers rate as buys

Should income investors be buying these stocks this week?

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Looking for passive income? These 2 ASX All Ords shares trade ex-dividend next week!

With ex-dividend dates fast approaching, passive income investors will need to act soon.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares for their 4% to 6.6% dividend yields

Analysts are tipping big yields from these buy-rated stocks.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
ETFs

Here's the current ASX dividend yield on the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS)

How much passive income can one expect from this popular index fund?

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Dividend Investing

NAB stock: Should you buy the 4.7% yield?

Do analysts think this banking giant is a buy for income investors?

Read more »

Person handing out $100 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Dividend Investing

The smartest ASX dividend shares to buy with $500 right now

Analysts have put buy ratings on these shares for a reason.

Read more »

Woman calculating dividends on calculator and working on a laptop.
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend stock down 17% to buy right now

Analysts see a lot of value and big dividend yields in this beaten down stock.

Read more »

Excited woman holding out $100 notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 high-yield ASX 300 dividend stocks to buy for your income portfolio

Analysts expect big dividend yields from these buy-rated shares.

Read more »