Why has the Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price had such a lousy start to December?

What's caused the company's shares to fall recently?

| More on:
A boy shrugs his shoulders, he doesn't know what's going on.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price had a disappointing run in the first few days of December.

Since the beginning of the month, the iron ore producer's shares have tumbled by almost 5% in value. This puts the company as one of the weaker performers on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

At Friday's market close, Fortescue shares finished the day down a further 0.87% to $17.10.

What's happened to Fortescue?

There are a number of reasons Fortescue shares have sunk in recent times.

The price of iron ore dropped after a mini bull run, reaching US$103.17 a tonne at the end of November. At current, the steel-making ingredient is trading at US$101.82, a fall of 1.63% for the first 5 days of this month.

Chinese lawmakers introduced new rules for its steel producers in an effort to curb reliance on Australian iron ore. Steel mills were instructed to limit 2021 output to no more than 2020 levels, or face harsh consequences.

As such, China wants its steel industry to halt iron ore production at around 1 billion tonne for 2021. This has led the price of iron ore to shrink from its lofty highs above the US$200 mark earlier this year.

Furthermore, Fortescue could suffer particularly more than its peers as it produces a lower grade of iron ore. Steel producers prefer higher quality iron ore, which miners Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) and BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) supply. Consequently, this puts a squeeze on Fortescue's margins.

A number of brokers have weighed in on the Fortescue shares following the company's September quarterly production report.

Goldman Sachs cut its price target by 3.5% to $11, while analysts at Credit Suisse reduced their rating by 33% to $14.

Based on the current Fortescue share price, this implies a downside of 35% and 18%, respectively.

About the Fortescue share price

Over the past 12 months, Fortescue shares have declined around 15% in value. However, when looking at year to date, its losses have declined by 30% for the period.

Fortescue commands a market capitalisation of roughly $53.11 million and has over 3 billion shares on its registry.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on these 2 ASX 200 mining shares

The broker sees significant valuation differences between these 2 major ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Lynas share price slides on rare earths revenue headwinds

ASX 200 investors are pressuring the Lynas share price today.

Read more »

Man in yellow hard hat looks through binoculars as man in white hard hat stands behind him and points.
Resources Shares

What stage in the cycle are ASX iron ore shares (and are they a buy)?

Are iron ore miners closer to the end or beginning of the boom-bust cycle?

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Resources Shares

Is BHP stock a good long-term investment?

Here's my view on whether the miner is worth owning for the long-term.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Own ASX mining shares? Experts say an upswing in commodity prices has begun

HSBC economists Paul Bloxham and Jamie Culling explain why global commodity prices are rising.

Read more »

Open copper pipes
Resources Shares

ASX copper stocks in the spotlight as the red metal soars to 2-year highs

The copper price is up 15% in 2024. Can the red metal’s bull run continue?

Read more »

Woman in yellow hard hat and gloves puts both thumbs down
Resources Shares

4 ASX mining shares being hammered on quarterly updates

These mining shares are having a difficult session.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Here is the dividend forecast to 2028 for Fortescue shares

The potential dividend payments from Fortescue could surprise you.

Read more »