Top broker tips Xero (ASX:XRO) share price to rise 24%

The Xero share price could be heading a lot higher according to one broker…

| More on:
A tattooed man stands in front of a chalkboard with lots of cash notes drawn on it, as if it's raining money.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price is tumbling on Tuesday along with the rest of the tech sector.

In morning trade, the cloud accounting platform provider's shares are down 3% to $133.30.

This means the Xero share price is now down over 12% since this time last month.

Is the Xero share price weakness a buying opportunity?

According to the team at Goldman Sachs, the Xero share price could be in the buy zone today.

A note out of the investment bank this morning reveals that its analysts have reiterated their buy rating and $165.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current Xero share price, this implies potential upside of almost 24% over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Goldman notes that rival Intuit, the company behind the QuickBooks (QBO) platform, has just held its investor day event.

Its analysts highlight that the event provided targets and increased disclosure on a number of items which the broker sees as supportive of its positive view on the Xero share price.

The broker commented: "1. Xero International subscriber momentum stronger than Intuit in FY21, with +412k net adds (ex NA), vs. Intuit +11% growth (i.e. 160k net adds). 2. Intuit ecosystem strategy proof point for Xero, with c.38% of QBO FY21 revenues from Online Services (vs. XRO 7%), noting that 40% of QBO customers now use an ecosystem service or 3rd party app. 3. QBO ARPUs continue to track strongly, supported by mix shift to higher ARPU subs, higher platform revenues and less discounting internationally. 4. Reiterated financial targets for c.30% QBO revenue growth, driven by +10 to +20% Sub/ARPU growth respectively, in line with GSe FY22E Xero Revenue Growth +33%.

Goldman also notes that the recent pullback in the Xero share price has brought it down to lower than average multiples. Particularly in comparison to key peer WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC).

It concludes: "We re-iterate our Buy on Xero (12m TP of A$165), noting Xero has closed its premium vs. the ASX InfoTech index to 140% vs. 2 year average 179% (12mf EV/Sales), and is -27% cheaper on 12mf EV/Sales vs. key peer WTC. We expect revenue acceleration into FY22 to drive outperformance (+4% vs. VA Consensus) with significant LT opportunities to unlock further value (NZ$76bn TAM)."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and has recommended WiseTech Global and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended WiseTech Global and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on these 2 ASX 200 mining shares

The broker sees significant valuation differences between these 2 major ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Morgans says these are some of the very best ASX 200 shares to buy

The broker believes these shares could be destined to deliver big returns.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on Coles vs. Woolworths share prices

One stock is set for a 26% share price gain over the next 12 months while the other is destined…

Read more »

Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »