The Telstra share price is up 13% in 2019: Is it too late to invest?

The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX:TLS) share price has been a strong performer in 2019. Is it too late to invest?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Over the past few years the Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has thoroughly underperformed the rest of the market.

Pleasingly for its long-suffering shareholders, 2019 has started very positively and the telco giant is on course to be a market beater.

Although its shares dropped around 1% lower on Monday, they are still up almost 13% since the start of the year.

As a comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) is up a solid 9.5% since the turn of the year.

Has the Telstra share price peaked?

According to analysts at Goldman Sachs, there could still be meaningful upside for its shares in 2019.

A note out of the investment bank of Friday reveals that its analysts have held firm with their conviction buy rating and $3.70 price target. This price target implies potential upside of over 15% excluding dividends.

Goldman remained bullish on Telstra after hosting an investor briefing with Telstra CEO Andrew Penn and members of the senior management team.

The broker appeared to be happy with what management had to say on its future outlook, particularly with its confidence in its ability to lead on 5G.

Telstra is expecting to be the leader in 5G in Australia due to its single vendor network design, the progress it has made in rolling out 5G enabled base stations, and its exclusive access to 5G enabled handsets.

In respect to the latter, this includes the Samsung Galaxy S10 5G which is expected to launch in June. Goldman believes this exclusivity is likely to be very supportive of postpaid subscriber growth in the second half and the first half of FY 2020.

In addition to this, the broker has previously stated its belief that Telstra's stronger than expected first half means it is well positioned to achieve the top end of its underlying FY 2019 EBITDA guidance. Which is something that is likely to go down well with the market.

This is expected to allow Telstra to pay a full year dividend of 16 cents per share fully franked, which equates to a 5% yield at current prices.

Should you invest?

Whilst I think that Telstra is the best option in the telco space ahead of the likes of Amaysim Australia Ltd (ASX: AYS), TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPM), Vocus Group Ltd (ASX: VOC), I'm not a buyer just yet due to the tough trading conditions being experienced in the industry.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended TPG Telecom Limited and Vocus Communications Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Latin Resources, Newmont, Nick Scali, and ResMed shares are surging today

These ASX shares are ending the week strongly. But why?

Read more »

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Let's also take a look at what the various ASX sectors were doing this Wednesday.

Read more »

A young women pumps her fists in excitement after seeing some good news on her laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Argosy Minerals, Immutep, Pointsbet, and Regis Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are having a strong session on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Businessman smiles with arms outstretched after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another strong showing from the share market today.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Healthco Healthcare, Medadvisor, Ramsay Health Care, and Tamboran shares are rising

These shares are having a strong session. But why?

Read more »

drug capsule opening up to reveal dollar signs signifying rising asx share price
Share Gainers

If you invested $6,000 in Mesoblast shares a month ago you'd have $15,636 now!

Mesoblast shares have been on a tear this past month. But why?

Read more »

Smiling man working on his laptop.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was back to the races for ASX shares today, in a confident start to the week.

Read more »

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a horrible way to end the trading week today for ASX investors.

Read more »