Down 27%: What's happened to the BT Investment Management Ltd share price?

BT Investment Management Ltd (ASX:BTT) shares have been beaten down this year. Is it time to buy them?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It has certainly been a turbulent first quarter of 2016 which has left the S&P/ASX 200 (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) nursing a loss of almost 7%.

But scarily this decline is nothing compared to what shareholders of some companies faced so far this year. Some shares have endured such horrific starts to the year that they could now be classed as bargains.

The BT Investment Management Ltd (ASX: BTT) share price has taken an almighty beating this year, so I have decided to see if there's a potential buying opportunity for bargain hunters.

BTIM has lost 27% of its value so far in 2016 and I feel the current price could make the shares good value now at 17x estimated FY 2016 earnings.

The drop could be related to the strengthening of the Australian dollar against the British pound. It has gone from being worth 43 British pence in September, all the way up to over 53 British pence today.

This is not great news for BTIM's shareholders. The company derives around two-thirds of its revenue from its UK operations thanks to the strong performance of its JO Hambro Capital Management business.

But there is light at the end of the tunnel. If the RBA does in fact lower interest rates this year, then I would expect the Australian dollar to weaken against all major currencies. This could prove to be a huge boost to the top line of BTIM.

However it isn't all plain sailing at the moment. One risk that investors should be aware of is the possible ramifications of Britain voting to exit the European Union. The latest word from the UK is that the public are in favour of leaving the EU.

Should this happen many economists believe the British pound could weaken even further. It is very difficult to say how the June 23 vote will go. But I do expect that if the UK votes to remain in the EU, the British pound will strengthen dramatically.

This could be the catalyst to take the share price higher and reach the price target set by Bell Potter. The broker is very bullish on BTIM and placed a buy rating on the shares with a price target of $14.50 recently. This implies upside of over 50% from the current trading price.

I think BTIM is definitely worth keeping a close eye on and is a tempting buy. But like fellow financial shares such as Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ), it is not without its risks.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »