Is Nearmap Ltd set to soar?

Nearmap Ltd (ASX:NEA) remains a speculative option.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Aerial mapping business Nearmap Ltd (ASX: NEA) notified the market its chief executive had left the company last week in a shock announcement that saw the share price crash 13% in a single day.

An unplanned CEO exit for a small-cap tech stock is generally a negative and infers all was not well amongst management at an organisation aiming to sell its innovative aerial mapping technology in the giant US market.

Ambitions 

The former chief executive helped build a successful business in Australia with total revenues for the last financial year hitting $26.1 million and the board forecasting a revenue run rate of $28 million to $32 million come December 2015.

Thanks to its high profit margins the standalone Australian business would turn a substantial profit if it were not for the company's development expenditures aimed at hitting the jackpot in the US market.

Nearmap entered North America in October 2014 and since then has been investing heavily with retained cash to map the country, market itself, sign-up clients and drive revenues like it has done in Australia.

Nearmap's financials also remain strong, even after an $11.3 million investment in the US for the period until June 30 2015, the business still returned a slim profit before tax for the last financial year.

Looking ahead the financials also remains healthy for a small-cap tech stock investing in an attempt to generate sustainable long-term growth.

The business was operating cash flow positive for the year ending June 2015, although negative cash flows from investing activities (primarily related to camera systems and mapping the US) of around $7.1 million were incurred.

However, growth for investment is necessary and the business was still left with $17.1 million in cash on its balance sheet to fund its US expansion in FY16 and beyond.

US Opportunity

The company seemingly has the building blocks in place, but the big question remains whether Nearmap can deliver on its US expansion plans while generating growth in its Australian business?

For the year to June 30 2015, Nearmap stated it generated around $100,000 in US sales having started operations there in October 2014. If you provide a period of grace to get going operationally and physically map the country that appears a reasonable result for the approximate first nine-month period.

However, the dumping of the CEO suggests everything has not gone to plan in the US and a work environment of sales targets and pressure to succeed may have contributed to a poor company culture that requires reversing.

The company also updated the market that in the US "sales growth by the outbound sales team is gathering good momentum, while sales by the enterprise team should accelerate under (the new CEO's) focused leadership". Reading between the lines this may be a parting shot at the former CEO's success (or lack of) in developing a team to win clients in the big-ticket enterprise segment, with SME growth progressing reasonably well.

Should you buy?

Thanks to its scalability and high margins Nearmap's standalone Australian business has significant profit-spinning potential for shareholders and today's price of 40 cents only ascribes a market valuation of $139 million for all the company's operations.

However, the business is now committed to its US development and all eyes will be on the US sales numbers for the first six months of FY16 that will likely not be released until February 2016.

The US development (if successful) is likely to take longer than the market demands, which means investors prepared to remain patient may find today's prices an attractive entry point for a speculative buy.

Other tech opportunities in the small-cap space include the founder-led Freelancer Ltd (ASX: FLN) and innovative recruitment disruptors 1-Page Ltd (ASX: IPG) and Reffind Ltd (ASX: RFN).

Motley Fool contributor Tom Richardson owns shares of Nearmap Ltd.. Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. You can find Tom on Twitter @tommyr345 The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »