Goldman Sachs says these ASX 200 mining shares can rise 20%+

Here are a couple of mining shares that the broker is bullish on.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for some mining sector exposure, then it could be worth checking out the two ASX 200 mining shares listed below.

That's because Goldman Sachs has just put buy ratings on both of these shares. Here's what the broker is saying:

a man in a hard hat and high visibility vest smiles as he stands in the foreground of heavy mining equipment on a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC)

According to the note, Goldman Sachs has a buy rating and trimmed price target of $7.50 on this rare earths producer's shares. This implies potential upside of 28% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker likes the ASX 200 mining share so much that it has it on its coveted conviction list. Its analysts highlight the company's attractive valuation, the positive outlook for rare earths, and its production growth plans as reasons to buy. It explains:

Undervalued: the stock is trading at ~0.8x NAV (A$7.71/sh) and pricing in US$67/kg NdPr vs. spot at ~US$55/kg and our long run US$83/kg (real $, from 2028) NdPr price forecast. NdPr market balanced over medium term but deficits over long run on higher Chinese supply, but we see upside to current NdPr spot China at ~US$55/kg where we forecast US$75/kg across CY24 based on our SD model. Doubling NdPr production, LYNAS 2025 target (12ktpa NdPr) likely delivered in 2026 but could be upsized to >12ktpa NdPr (not in base case) based on the Mt Weld resource, possible third party feed, and ongoing supportive global government policy:

South32 Ltd (ASX: S32)

Another ASX 200 mining share that has been given the seal of approval by Goldman is South32.

Its analysts have a buy rating and $3.80 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 20% for investors from current levels.

The broker is feeling positive on the company due to the favourable outlook for a number of commodities that it produces. It said:

GS bullish copper, aluminium, zinc and met coal (~65% of S32 NTM EBITDA): leading to improving FCF in 2H FY24 FY25 (yield of ~10%) and forecast strong recovery in S32's EBITDA (+50%) in FY25. In addition, we are bullish on the alumina market with forecast pricing over 2024/2025 of US$375/380/t based on the full curtailment of Kwinana, and we expect San Ciprian and other western world refineries to close, based on our cost curve analysis.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

a close up of two people shake hands in front of the backdrop of a setting sun in an outdoor setting.
Materials Shares

GR Engineering Services lands $275m Yitirrti project contract

GR Engineering Services shares react after securing a $275 million contract for the Yitirrti copper-silver-zinc project in WA.

Read more »

A happy construction worker leap-frogs over another as a third looks on
Materials Shares

Imdex FY26 earnings: Profit and revenue rise

Imdex shares are in focus after posting FY26 earnings growth and announcing further acquisitions.

Read more »

Male building supervisor stands and smiles with his arms crossed at a building site with workers behind him.
Materials Shares

Macmahon unveils strategic Homeground partnership and sale

Macmahon unveils a strategic partnership and partial Homeground sale, unlocking value and growth prospects in Central Queensland.

Read more »

Man analysing data on his laptop.
Earnings Results

BlueScope Steel FY26 earnings: Profit and dividends soar

BlueScope expects to build on its momentum in FY 2027.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

BHP shares: 3 things to watch out for in tomorrow's FY26 result

Three things to watch in BHP's FY26 result.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Materials Shares

Why I'd invest $10,000 in BHP shares now

BHP is trading close to a record high, but I would still be comfortable putting money into the shares today.

Read more »

A construction worker sits pensively at his desk with his arm propping up his chin as he looks at his laptop computer.
Materials Shares

Tivan receives $3m IPCM grant for Speewah Fluorite Project

Tivan received an extra $3 million in IPCM grant funding to advance its Speewah Fluorite Project in Western Australia.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Glencore is thinking about listing on the ASX. Is this an opportunity for investors?

One of the world’s biggest miners wants a slice of the ASX.

Read more »