Goldman Sachs says these ASX 200 mining shares can rise 20%+

Here are a couple of mining shares that the broker is bullish on.

| More on:
a man in a hard hat and high visibility vest smiles as he stands in the foreground of heavy mining equipment on a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for some mining sector exposure, then it could be worth checking out the two ASX 200 mining shares listed below.

That's because Goldman Sachs has just put buy ratings on both of these shares. Here's what the broker is saying:

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC)

According to the note, Goldman Sachs has a buy rating and trimmed price target of $7.50 on this rare earths producer's shares. This implies potential upside of 28% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker likes the ASX 200 mining share so much that it has it on its coveted conviction list. Its analysts highlight the company's attractive valuation, the positive outlook for rare earths, and its production growth plans as reasons to buy. It explains:

Undervalued: the stock is trading at ~0.8x NAV (A$7.71/sh) and pricing in US$67/kg NdPr vs. spot at ~US$55/kg and our long run US$83/kg (real $, from 2028) NdPr price forecast. NdPr market balanced over medium term but deficits over long run on higher Chinese supply, but we see upside to current NdPr spot China at ~US$55/kg where we forecast US$75/kg across CY24 based on our SD model. Doubling NdPr production, LYNAS 2025 target (12ktpa NdPr) likely delivered in 2026 but could be upsized to >12ktpa NdPr (not in base case) based on the Mt Weld resource, possible third party feed, and ongoing supportive global government policy:

South32 Ltd (ASX: S32)

Another ASX 200 mining share that has been given the seal of approval by Goldman is South32.

Its analysts have a buy rating and $3.80 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 20% for investors from current levels.

The broker is feeling positive on the company due to the favourable outlook for a number of commodities that it produces. It said:

GS bullish copper, aluminium, zinc and met coal (~65% of S32 NTM EBITDA): leading to improving FCF in 2H FY24 FY25 (yield of ~10%) and forecast strong recovery in S32's EBITDA (+50%) in FY25. In addition, we are bullish on the alumina market with forecast pricing over 2024/2025 of US$375/380/t based on the full curtailment of Kwinana, and we expect San Ciprian and other western world refineries to close, based on our cost curve analysis.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistfull of Australian money, indicating a dividends windfall
Dividend Investing

Invest $10,000 in BHP shares and get $480 in passive income

Here's what sort of passive income Goldman Sachs expects from the Big Australian.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are Pilbara shares worth buying right now?

Is the current Pilbara stock price low enough for me to buy?

Read more »

A woman crosses her hands in front of her body in a defensive stance indicating a trading halt.
Materials Shares

BHP shares fall again after Anglo American rejects takeover offer

The Big Australian's offer 'significantly undervalues' the miner.

Read more »

a sad looking engineer or miner wearing a high visibility jacket and a hard hat stands alone with his head bowed and hand to his forehead as he speaks on a mobile telephone out front of what appears to be an on site work shed.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium share price tumbles to multi-year low following quarterly update

This lithium miner has released its first update since suspending mining activities.

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares tumble as falling prices hit export values

Here are all the details from a new report released today.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Materials Shares

Why are Sayona Mining shares getting thumped today?

Should this miner have put its lithium operation on care and maintenance?

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Materials Shares

BHP shares sink on $60b Anglo American takeover news

The Big Australian could be on the verge of a major acquisition.

Read more »

A man in trendy clothing sits on a bench in a shopping mall looking at his phone with interest and a surprised look on his face.
Materials Shares

Dirt cheap! Why Lynas shares could rise 18%

Bell Potter sees a lot of value in this rare earths miner's shares.

Read more »