Here's what Citi is saying about the AMP share price

Is it time to be a bull or a bear with AMP shares? Or maybe something in the middle?

| More on:
Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) share price has been out of form in 2023.

Since the start of the year, the financial services company's shares have fallen approximately 14%.

Conversely, on a 12-month basis, things are looking far better. As you can see on the chart below, its shares are actually up 14% during this period.

Where next for the AMP share price?

According to a note out of Citi, its analysts believe the AMP share price is about fair value at current levels.

The broker has retained its neutral rating and $1.15 price target on its shares, which implies modest upside of approximately 1.75%.

In addition, the broker has pencilled in dividends of 3 cents per share in FY 2023, which equates to a 2.65% yield.

What is the broker saying?

Citi has mixed feeling about AMP's recent announcement of its decision to sell its SuperConcepts SMSF admin and software business.

While it sees positives in the simplification of its business, it highlights that this is yet another disappointing investment that the company once had high hopes for. It commented:

AMP once had high hopes for its SuperConcepts business championing its leading market position in SMSF administration and promising growth in fund members and market share. However, ultimately the market proved too disperse and revenue growth proved elusive. So, the business continued to lose around A$5m or so per annum, dragging on overall performance.

The new, simplified AMP no longer has the appetite for the focus and investment this business now requires. So, despite the small loss on sale and the conclusion of another disappointing investment, we see its sale to Pemba Capital Partners as a small positive for both strategy and underlying earnings. We allow for a minor amount of stranded costs but nonetheless lift our FY23E- FY25E EPS by 1% including a small mark to market impact.

Citi's focus now is on AMP's upcoming half-year results and particularly its cost cutting plans. It concludes:

With all eyes on AMP's cost reduction plans to be announced alongside 1H23, we retain our Neutral call and A$1.15 TP.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

Two brokers analysing stocks.
Financial Shares

Here is the earnings forecast to 2026 for Macquarie shares

The investment bank is predicted to make strong earnings in the coming years.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Financial Shares

How is this ASX 200 financial stock popping 6% today?

This lucky company has just swung into the green in 2024...

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Financial Shares

AMP share price falls on first-quarter update

How did AMP perform during the first quarter?

Read more »

A young woman sits with her hand to her chin staring off to the side thinking about her investments.
Financial Shares

Why the Macquarie share price could soar 16% on an overlooked factor

A double-edge sword might be Macquarie's secret weapon for huge upside.

Read more »

Smiling elderly couple looking at their superannuation account, symbolising retirement.
Financial Shares

Suncorp share price hits new 52-week high amid $375m asset sale

Suncorp is offloading another asset as it reshapes its business.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Financial Shares

Are IAG shares worth buying right now?

IAG shares have climbed high, but is there further to go?

Read more »

A man with long hair and tattoos holds out an EFTPOS payment machine from behind a shop counter.
Financial Shares

1 dirt-cheap ASX stock I'd buy as Aussie cash carrier looks for a lifeline

Every crisis comes with an opportunity. I reckon this payments company is in the buy zone as cash crumbles.

Read more »

A young male investor wearing a white business shirt screams in frustration with his hands grasping his hair after ASX 200 shares fell rapidly today and appear to be heading into a stock market crash
Financial Shares

Why is this ASX 300 stock crashing 23% today?

Shareholders of this stock have been hit with some bad news.

Read more »