What's the forecast for the Core Lithium share price in June?

Higher or lower? Where is this lithium share heading in June.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The month of May was kind to the Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) share price.

As we covered here, the lithium miner's shares rose a sizeable 7% during the month.

This compares very favourably to the 3% decline by the ASX 200 index over the same period.

A female ASX investor looks through a magnifying glass that enlarges her eye and holds her hand to her face with her mouth open as if looking at something of great interest or surprise.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the Core Lithium share price build on this in June?

Unfortunately, most brokers agree that Core Lithium's shares are overvalued at current levels.

For example, Citi has a sell rating and 75 cents price target, Goldman Sachs has a sell rating and 80 cents price target, and Morgans has a hold rating and $1.05 price target.

This bearishness is largely due to the company's shares trading at a price to net asset value (NAV) that is significantly higher than peers.

Citi highlights that "CXO trades on ~1.3x P/NAV vs peers on ~0.8-0.9x P/NAV."

Goldman Sachs believes this indicates that investors are "pricing in ~US$1,600/t spodumene (peer average ~US$1,100/t)" over the long-term.

Of course, if you believe lithium prices are going to average that over the long-term, then you're probably picking up shares at a fair price now.

However, if you are that bullish and confident in lithium prices, then you perhaps should be looking at other lithium miners instead. After all, their current valuations suggest they are trading at a deep discount if long-term spodumene prices averaged US$1,600 per tonne.

There is a bull

It's not all doom and gloom, though. It is worth highlighting that analysts at Macquarie don't agree with the rest of the broker community and continue to see value in the Core Lithium share price.

A recent note reveals that the broker has an outperform rating and $1.30 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 20% for investors from current levels.

Time will tell which brokers make the right call.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A smiling businessman sits at a desk with bags of money, indicating a share price rise after funding has been approved
Materials Shares

Fletcher Building secures $60m for local cement production in NZ

Fletcher Building struck a $60m government deal to secure New Zealand’s only cement plant until 2040 and drive further decarbonisation.

Read more »

Engineer at an underground mine and talking to a miner.
Materials Shares

What is Morgan's updated view on Rio Tinto and BHP shares?

Is there any more upside for these blue-chips?

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Materials Shares

PLS shares are down 28%. Are they a buy, hold, or sell?

Analysts reveal whether PLS shares remain a buy after recent weakness.

Read more »

A miniature moulded model of a man bent over with a pick stands behind a sign that has lithium's scientific abbreviation 'Li', with the word lithium underneath it against a sparse bland background.
Materials Shares

Lithium prices are cooling. Here's what that means for these ASX lithium shares

Lithium prices have cooled sharply after a stellar run. Here is what that means for these ASX lithium shares.

Read more »

Lithium mine drilling machines.
Materials Shares

Why record production could not save this ASX lithium stock today

This ASX lithium stock is falling despite another strong quarter.

Read more »

One female and two male construction workers laugh on site.
Materials Shares

Why are Fletcher Building shares flying 7% higher today?

Find out what happened, and if the share price can keep climbing higher.

Read more »

A construction worker sits pensively at his desk with his arm propping up his chin as he looks at his laptop computer.
Materials Shares

Fletcher Building lifts FY26 profit guidance as quarterly volumes rise

Fletcher Building lifted its FY26 guidance and posted volume growth in key segments, but flagged caution for early FY27.

Read more »

Concept image of a man in a suit with his chest on fire.
Materials Shares

Why this red hot ASX lithium share could rise 175%

Bell Potter thinks this lithium developer could almost triple in value.

Read more »