Should I buy Westpac shares ahead of next week's half-year results?

Is it time to pounce on Westpac shares or should you keep your powder dry?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares have had a tough time over the last 12 months.

During this time, the banking giant's shares have lost 6.5% of their value, as you can see on the chart below.

In light of this weakness, some investors may be tempted to pick up Westpac shares before it releases its results next week. But should they wait?

A woman looks nonplussed as she holds up a handful of Australian $50 notes.

Image source: Getty Images

Should you buy Westpac shares ahead of its results?

Buying shares before they release their results is a risky move. A strong result could see a share rocket higher, but a weak result could see the opposite happen.

In light of this, it may make sense to buy a share in two stages. Half before the results and half after the release. This limits your downside if things go awry and also allows you to benefit from any gains if things go well.

But is Westpac a buy? Well, it is according to Goldman Sachs. It is expecting a strong result from Australia's oldest bank and is recommending investors snap up its shares.

Goldman recently reiterated its conviction buy rating and $25.86 price target on the bank's shares. Based on the current Westpac share price of $22.55, this implies potential upside of 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

And with the broker forecasting a $1.44 per share fully franked dividend in FY 2023, which represents a 6.5% yield, the total potential return on offer here is approximately 21%.

What is Goldman expecting from the half-year result?

If you are planning to buy Westpac shares, you will no doubt want to keep an eye on its results.

Goldman Sachs is expecting Westpac to report cash earnings (before one-offs) of $3,781 million, which is just a touch short of the consensus estimate of $3,788 million. It also represents a sizeable 22.2% increase on the prior corresponding period.

This is expected to be supported by a net interest margin of 2.03% and underpin a fully franked interim dividend of 72 cents per share. The latter will be an 18% increase from FY 2022's interim dividend of 61 cents per share.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

3 reasons to buy CBA shares following its results

CBA's scale and technology remain major strengths in my view.

Read more »

A woman with her hands over her face splits her fingers over one eye so she can peep through it.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares tumble to 52-week low on Thursday: Can they rebound?

Find out what brokers forecast for the ASX bank stock over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Man holding different Australian dollar notes.
Bank Shares

By August 2027, CBA shares could turn $15,000 into…

Here’s what could happen with CBA shares…

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Bank Shares

How high will Judo Capital shares go? Brokers have their say

It's looking like time for these shares to rebound.

Read more »

ASX 200 bank share trading depicted by red buy and sell dice tumbling across a sheet of data in colourful graphics
Broker Notes

With $30 billion in FY26 income, should I buy CBA shares today?

A leading analyst digs into the outlook for CBA’s slipping shares.

Read more »

Calculator next to money.
Bank Shares

Is the NAB share price a buy for its 6% dividend yield?

Is this ASX bank share a buy for dividend income?

Read more »

Arrows with the words up and down.
Bank Shares

2 ASX 200 bank stocks making BIG moves today on results

Investors are piling into one ASX 200 bank share on Tuesday while abandoning a second. But why?

Read more »

Man working on his tablet with hologram of a world map and financial-related charts.
Bank Shares

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank posts FY26 profit as it commits to risk overhaul

Here's what the regional bank expects to report for the year.

Read more »