Should I buy Rio Tinto shares in 2023?

The iron ore stock offers 'compelling valuation', according to one top broker.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Rio Tinto share price has had a good run over the last 12 months, gaining 11% in that time to trade at $125.96
  • Meanwhile, the company upped its iron ore production and shipments and completed a major copper acquisition
  • That helped lead top broker Goldman Sachs to up its price target for the stock to $134.40 – representing a potential 8% upside

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the last 12 months. And one broker tips it to continue to rise.

Right now, the Rio Tinto share price is $126.01, 11.1% higher than it was this time last year.

For comparison, the ASX 200 has gained 1.3% in that time.

Let's take a look at whether Rio Tinto shares could represent a buying opportunity this year.

rising mining asx share price represented by happy woman miner in hard hat

Image source: Getty Images

Rio Tinto shares tipped to gain 6.6%

The Rio Tinto share price has had a good start to this year. It's gained 9% year to date amid strong quarterly results, which dropped on Tuesday. This week's release also led one top broker to up its price target for the stock.

The iron ore production at the company's Pilbara operations increased 6% year-on-year last quarter, reaching 89.5 million tonnes, while iron ore shipments lifted 4% year-on-year to 87.3 million tonnes, and its realised average iron ore price came in at US$97.60 per wet metric tonne.

Its iron ore guidance for 2023 remains flat at 320 million tonnes to 335 million tonnes.

Meanwhile, the company upgraded its mined copper production forecasts to between 650 thousand tonnes to 710 thousand tonnes after completing its US$3.1 billion acquisition of Turquoise Hill Resources in mid-December.

Goldman Sachs upped its price target on Rio Tinto shares from $130 to $134.40 on the back of the release. That represents a potential 6.6% upside.

It believes the stock is trading at a "compelling valuation" and expects it to restart production growth this year.

It also likes the company's low carbon aluminium business, saying it's one of the highest margin, lowest emitting of its type in the world.

I think Rio Tinto could be a 2023 buy

There are plenty of reasons to like the ASX 200 iron ore giant right now, in my opinion.

The stock currently offers a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.29 and a 26.4% debt-to-equity ratio, according to CommSec data. Additionally, its current 7.6% dividend yield is particularly tempting.

All that, combined with Goldman Sachs' positive growth forecast, leads me to believe Rio Tinto shares could be a worthwhile addition to my portfolio in 2023.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A group of people in business attire gather around a computer in an office environment with expressions of concern as they try to nut out the answer to a challenge they are facing.
Resources Shares

Liontown shares crash 18% in a month: What happened?

Liontown shares are down 30% from a three-year high in May.

Read more »

A group of people in suits and hard hats celebrate the rising share price with champagne.
Resources Shares

$5,000 invested in BHP shares 12 months ago is now worth….

Around 12 months ago, BHP shares were trading close to a multi-year low.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Which rare earths miner has locked in a $1.65 billion funding deal?

A major supply agreement has also been struck.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Resources Shares

Iluka Resources signs multi-year rare earths supply deal

Iluka Resources has landed its first major rare earths supply deal, adding US$155 million in contracted revenue through 2028.

Read more »

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
Resources Shares

Down 8%, is the BHP share price a buy?

For investors who can handle commodity cycles, the recent weakness could be a reasonable entry point.

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Resources Shares

Mineral Resources shares slide as CEO uncertainty weighs in

This mining stock is down as leadership questions remain.

Read more »

Smiling miner.
Resources Shares

Why is this junior critical minerals company up 10%?

Value-adding onshore is the goal for this company.

Read more »

A group of friends party and dance in the desert with colourful confetti all around them.
Resources Shares

This ASX mining stock turned $5,000 into an absolute fortune

The gains were staggering. The story may not be over.

Read more »