Should I buy Rio Tinto shares in 2023?

The iron ore stock offers 'compelling valuation', according to one top broker.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Rio Tinto share price has had a good run over the last 12 months, gaining 11% in that time to trade at $125.96
  • Meanwhile, the company upped its iron ore production and shipments and completed a major copper acquisition
  • That helped lead top broker Goldman Sachs to up its price target for the stock to $134.40 – representing a potential 8% upside

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the last 12 months. And one broker tips it to continue to rise.

Right now, the Rio Tinto share price is $126.01, 11.1% higher than it was this time last year.

For comparison, the ASX 200 has gained 1.3% in that time.

Let's take a look at whether Rio Tinto shares could represent a buying opportunity this year.

rising mining asx share price represented by happy woman miner in hard hat

Image source: Getty Images

Rio Tinto shares tipped to gain 6.6%

The Rio Tinto share price has had a good start to this year. It's gained 9% year to date amid strong quarterly results, which dropped on Tuesday. This week's release also led one top broker to up its price target for the stock.

The iron ore production at the company's Pilbara operations increased 6% year-on-year last quarter, reaching 89.5 million tonnes, while iron ore shipments lifted 4% year-on-year to 87.3 million tonnes, and its realised average iron ore price came in at US$97.60 per wet metric tonne.

Its iron ore guidance for 2023 remains flat at 320 million tonnes to 335 million tonnes.

Meanwhile, the company upgraded its mined copper production forecasts to between 650 thousand tonnes to 710 thousand tonnes after completing its US$3.1 billion acquisition of Turquoise Hill Resources in mid-December.

Goldman Sachs upped its price target on Rio Tinto shares from $130 to $134.40 on the back of the release. That represents a potential 6.6% upside.

It believes the stock is trading at a "compelling valuation" and expects it to restart production growth this year.

It also likes the company's low carbon aluminium business, saying it's one of the highest margin, lowest emitting of its type in the world.

I think Rio Tinto could be a 2023 buy

There are plenty of reasons to like the ASX 200 iron ore giant right now, in my opinion.

The stock currently offers a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.29 and a 26.4% debt-to-equity ratio, according to CommSec data. Additionally, its current 7.6% dividend yield is particularly tempting.

All that, combined with Goldman Sachs' positive growth forecast, leads me to believe Rio Tinto shares could be a worthwhile addition to my portfolio in 2023.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

An investor looks happy holding a finger to his computer screen while holding a coffee cup in a home office scenario.
Resources Shares

Alcoa posts Q1 2026 result

Alcoa Q1 2026 results show higher profits and a positive outlook, led by strong aluminium pricing and operational progress.

Read more »

Smiling miner.
Resources Shares

Can BHP shares smash through the $60 record barrier in April?

The miner needs strong commodities, steady growth, and China demand to hit new highs.

Read more »

Miner holding a silver nugget.
Resources Shares

Up 82% in 12 months, ASX All Ords silver share jumping today on big US news

The ASX miner is targeting high-grade silver deposits in California.

Read more »

Two mining workers on a laptop at a mine site.
Resources Shares

This ASX critical minerals company says its mining project could be the world's largest

This project in Malawi could be a game changer in the critical minerals space.

Read more »

Two young African mine workers wearing protective wear are discussing coal quality while on site at a coal mine.
Resources Shares

Whitehaven Coal announces US$900m notes issue and debt refinancing

Whitehaven Coal issued US$900 million in new notes to refinance debt, aiming for lower interest costs and a longer repayment…

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Resources Shares

PLS Group prices US$600m in senior notes for growth and refinancing

PLS Group announced a US$600m notes issue to fund debt refinancing and general purposes, boosting flexibility for its lithium operations.

Read more »

gold, gold miner, gold discovery, gold nugget, gold price,
Resources Shares

Genesis Minerals posts March 2026 quarterly results

Genesis Minerals’ March 2026 quarter saw cash surge to $600 million, strong gold output, and key growth projects advancing.

Read more »

A man smiles as he holds bank notes in front of a laptop.
Resources Shares

New Hope launches $300m convertible notes offer and buyback

New Hope is refinancing $300m of convertible notes, targeting lower costs and extended debt maturity through a new offering.

Read more »