Telstra shares: Buy, hold, or fold?

One broker is tipping 21% upside for the ASX 200 telco giant's stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Telstra share price has dumped around 50% over the last few decades to trade at $3.795 right now
  • Brokers are hopeful the company's current restructure could bring some major benefits
  • Meanwhile, one broker is tipping the stock to lift 21% amid continually decent dividends

It's been a rough few decades for the share price of Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) – which is currently trading under the name Telstra Group Ltd and ticker code TLSDA.

The company is in the middle of a restructuring operation, shaking up its business right down to its ASX listing, as The Motley Fool's Sebastian reports.  

The move comes after the stock dumped around 50% of its value over 23 years. It's fallen from around $9 per share in 1999 to trade at $3.795 today.

That's also 10% lower than it was at the start of 2022. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has also fallen around 10% year to date.

So, with the stock having tumbled recently and a restructuring operation in progress, is now a good time to buy Telstra shares? Let's see what experts think.

A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.

Image source: Getty Images

Is now a good time to buy Telstra shares?

Many experts are optimistic about the Telstra share price going forward. Though, not all would go so far as to rate it a buy.

Top broker Goldman Sachs, for one, has a neutral rating on the telecommunications giant. But it has slapped Telstra shares with a $4.40 price target, representing a potential 15% upside.

Bell Potter Securities advisor Chris Watt has also tipped the telco as a hold, noting its earnings are resilient. Watt said, courtesy of The Bull:

The future sale of its infrastructure assets is the next key catalyst in determining the strategic direction of the business going forward.

Telstra's restructure will see the business split into four pillars: ServeCo, InfraCo Fixed, Amplitel, and Telstra International.

Back in August, the company's chief financial officer Vicki Brady said the restructure will give the company the option to monetise the InfraCo business. Though, no sale has been decided upon.

JP Morgan believes selling a 49% stake in the asset could reap between $12 billion and $17 billion of after-tax profit, the Australian Financial Review reports.

Under such circumstances, $10.5 billion to $15.5 billion could be returned to shareholders, most likely through buybacks, the broker reportedly said. Such buybacks could, in turn, boost the telco's dividends by 9%.

Speaking of dividends, Morgans is tipping Telstra to pay out 16.5 cents per share this financial year and next, my Fool colleague James reports.

That's in line with the company's financial year 2022 full-year offering. Though, that included three cents per share of special dividends.

Morgans is particularly bullish on Telstra shares, slapping the stock with an add rating and a $4.60 price target. That represents a potential 21% upside.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Is this ASX defence stock the next DroneShield?

Bell Potter thinks this stock could be the next to rocket. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Happy, tablet or doctor in a laboratory with research results or positive feedback after medical data analysis. Smile, vaccine or healthcare worker reading or working on futuristic science innovation.
Broker Notes

This ASX healthcare stock could almost double in value according to Bell Potter

The broker believes this stock is making major breakthroughs.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A woman holds her finger to the side of her face and looks upwards as she thinks about something.
Broker Notes

4 ASX shares at 52-week lows: Buy, hold, or sell?

Here's what the experts think.

Read more »

A female athlete in green spandex leaps from one cliff edge to another representing 3 ASX shares that are destined to rise and be great
Broker Notes

Up 57% since February, why Telix shares could keep leaping higher in 2026

A leading analyst believes investors are undervaluing Telix shares. But why?

Read more »

A happy young woman in a red t-shirt hold up two delicious burritos.
Broker Notes

Guzman Y Gomez shares just sank to new all-time lows. Time to buy?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for the battered Guzman Y Gomez share price.

Read more »

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face.
Energy Shares

4 ASX 200 energy shares rated buys

ASX 200 energy shares have skyrocketed 14% over the past month.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CBA, and Pro Medicus shares

Are analysts bullish on the big names? Let's find out.

Read more »