Why did this ASX 300 retail share just crash 25%?

This retail share is crashing on Tuesday. Here's why…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Baby Bunting Group Ltd (ASX: BBN) share price is having a day to forget on Tuesday.

In morning trade, the baby products retailer's shares have crashed 25% to a two-year low of $2.92.

Why is the Baby Bunting share price crashing?

Investors have been selling down the Baby Bunting share price following the release of a trading update at the company's annual general meeting.

According to the release, as of 7 October, Baby Bunting's sales were up 12% year to date. This has been driven by total transaction growth of 15.2%, comparable store sales growth of 7.6%, and online sales growth of 19.6%.

However, things aren't quite as positive for its earnings due to significant margin pressure.

What's happening to its margins?

The release reveals that Baby Bunting's first quarter gross profit margin was below expectations and down 230 basis points over the prior corresponding period to 37.2%.

This has led to first quarter net profit after tax falling $3 million year over year despite its double-digit top line growth.

Baby Bunting's CEO, Matt Spencer, explained that this has been driven by the company's decision to compete with rivals on pricing despite rising inflation. He commented:

In Q1 FY23, we expected a minor year-on-year reduction in gross margin as a result of the Loyalty program only commencing in November 2021 plus more products moving to Every Day Low Price. The amount of the actual reduction has been greater than anticipated.

In tougher economic times, we continue to emphasise value in a competitive environment. We have maintained entry price points across our range ensuring great value every day, every visit. During the quarter, we have seen some competitors discounting top selling items to drive sales. Our 5% Price Promise is a key part of our response to this and it means we will not be beaten on price.

In addition, unrecovered cost increases, soft demand for playgear, and loyalty program redemptions have been weighing on its margins.

Outlook

Positively, the company's inventory levels are well-controlled and it has plans in place to address the first half impacts to recover earnings over the full year.

However, given "the continuing economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures and other global challenges", Baby Bunting isn't providing further guidance about FY 2023 earnings at this point.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Baby Bunting. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A young woman lies on her lounge with a pink blanket covering her face and the top half of her body as she hides away from seeing the Nick Scali share price fall today
Retail Shares

Down 75%: Is this beaten down ASX retail stock a buy?

Temple & Webster's share price has been hammered, but there is still opportunity in this ASX retail stock.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

With first-half profits jumping to $1.6 billion, are Wesfarmers shares a buy today?

A leading analyst provides his forecast for Wesfarmers' rebounding shares.

Read more »

Two happy woman on a sofa.
Retail Shares

5 ASX retail shares whose 12-month price targets just got slashed

Broker Jefferies has cut the 12-month share price targets of 5 retail stocks by up to 44%.

Read more »

Close-up of a business man's hand stacking gold coins into piles on a desktop.
Retail Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for Wesfarmers shares

The Kmart and Bunnings owner could deliver plenty of dividend growth in the coming years…

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Retail Shares

If I invest $8,000 in Wesfarmers shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?

How large could the dividend be next year?

Read more »

A young woman looks happily at her phone in one hand with a selection of retail shopping bags in her other hand.
Retail Shares

Why JB Hi-Fi shares can turn things around despite a tough retail environment

JB Hi-Fi shares have had a rough time of late. However, solid growth provides a catalyst for investors to consider…

Read more »

A man in a business suit whose face isn't shown hands over two Australian hundred dollar notes from a pile of notes in his other hand to an outstretched hand of another person.
Retail Shares

Billionaire Brett Blundy is buying again. Is this battered ASX retail share about to turn?

Adairs shares are rising after a high-profile retail investor bought in.

Read more »

Man with his head on his head with a red declining arrow and A worried man holds his head and look at his computer as the Megaport share price crashes today
Retail Shares

Major ASX retail stocks sink to year lows: Time to buy?

Weak retail sentiment and high interest rates pressure share prices.

Read more »