Up 24% in a month, is it too late to buy New Hope shares?

New Hope has benefited greatly from the soaring price of coal amid a global energy crunch.

New Hope Corporation Limited (ASX: NHC) shares joined the broader sell-off today, but remain up 24% over the past month. A month that saw the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lose 4%.

Year-to-date that number is even more impressive, with the ASX 200 coal miner up 190% while the benchmark index fell 12%.

New Hope, as you're likely aware, has benefited greatly from the soaring price of coal amid a global energy crunch. Particularly thermal coal, which hit record highs this year and is still trading at a historic high of US$385 per tonne.

But with those kinds of gains already in the bag, is it too late to buy New Hope shares?

Is it too late to buy the stock?

According to Morgans, investors can likely still buy New Hope shares and look to bank some solid gains.

The broker retained its add rating on the coal miner and increased its target for the New Hope share price to $7.20. That's 6.7% above the current price of $6.75 per share.

Morgans' bullishness stems from coal prices coming in above expectations, along with the potential approval of the Associated Water Licence (AWL) at its New Acland Mine in Queensland. It said this "under-recognised catalyst" could add 70 cents per share to the miner's value.

Braden Gardiner, from Tradethestructure, has a hold recommendation on the miner, but he does expect New Hope shares "to remain in an uptrend".

According to Gardiner (courtesy of The Bull):

The share price has soared this calendar year on the back of booming coal prices. A big dividend increase announced at its full year 2022 results generated further support from income investors. In the absence of a short-term solution to the energy crisis, I expect NHC to remain in an uptrend.

New Hope shares pay a trailing dividend yield of 3.5%.

How have New Hope shares been tracking longer-term?

ASX 200 investors who bought New Hope shares five years ago will be sitting on a gain of 247% today. That compares to a 15% gain posted by the ASX 200 over that same time.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

A person bounces another up high from a seesaw as the one in the air looks through a telescope into the future.
Resources Shares

2 ASX stocks down 28% to 30% in a month I'd buy right now

Both of these ASX stocks are expected to rebound strongly over the next 12 months.

Read more »

male worker in hi-vis checking the balance of the hydrogen tanks
Energy Shares

Meridian Energy posts record Q1 hydro generation in FY27 update

Meridian Energy posts record first quarter hydro generation for FY27 and keeps investment plans on track.

Read more »

a uranium-fuelled mushroom shaped cloud explosion surrounded by a circle of rainbow light with a symbol of an atom to one side of it.
52-Week Lows

I think this ASX share is a bargain buy after hitting a 52-week low: Here's why

Brokers tip a rebound ahead. But by how much?

Read more »

Smiling oil worker in front of a pumpjack.
Energy Shares

$10,000 invested in Woodside shares 12 months ago is now worth…

Woodside shares have had a successful 12 months.

Read more »

Young mother with baby boy at the petrol station refuelling the car.
Energy Shares

Ampol posts 3Q26 EBIT growth and surging refinery margins

Ampol's 3Q26 update shows robust EBIT growth and surging refinery margins, as the group advances EV strategy and retail integration.

Read more »

Woman working on her laptop at a café.
Energy Shares

Origin Energy vs Woodside Energy: Which ASX 200 share is more likely to beat the market?

Origin Energy and Woodside Energy compared: dividends, valuation, recent momentum, and my take on which ASX energy stock could beat…

Read more »

Smiling oil worker in front of a pumpjack.
Energy Shares

Contact Energy: September 2026 monthly operating results

Contact Energy’s latest monthly report shows higher sales and major renewable projects moving forward.

Read more »

Smiling oil worker in front of a pumpjack.
Energy Shares

Santos share price jumps to fresh multi-year high: Here's what brokers tip next

How much higher could Santos shares go?

Read more »