Why Macquarie says the BHP share price can gain another 19%

We check what one broker thinks could be in store for the BHP share price.

| More on:
a man wearing a hard hat and a high visibility vest stands with his arms crossed in front of heavy equipment at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The BHP share price is in the red today 
  • However, the company's shares have soared 24% year to date 
  • Analysts at Macquarie predict BHP's share price could soar even higher 

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has soared 24% year to date but Macquarie analysts are tipping it could even go higher.

BHP shares are currently swapping hands at $51.28, a 1.29% fall. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has dropped 0.76% so far today.

Let's check the outlook for BHP shares.

Could this share go even higher?

BHP shares could soar way beyond their current price, according to the team at Macquarie.

Analysts have placed an outperform rating on BHP with a $61 price target. That's 19% more than the current share price.

Macquarie believes elevated iron ore and coal prices will underpin strong earnings, cash flow, and dividends in the coming years.

As my Foolish colleague James reported, analysts predict BHP could deliver bumper profits in the near term due to these high commodity prices. Especially given the quality and low costs of its operations across a range of commodities and geographies.

Further, Macquarie is predicting BHP could deliver generous dividends in the future. Analysts foresee a fully franked dividend of $5.22 per share in FY 2022 and about $3.61 in FY 2023.

However, my Foolish colleague Zach recently reported 52% of analysts are neutral on the BHP share price. Further, 32% of brokers rate it as a buy, while 16% of analysts suggest their clients sell BHP shares.

BHP share price snapshot

The BHP share price has jumped 12% in the past year, while it has climbed almost 3% in the past month.

For perspective, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has returned 8% over the past year.

BHP has a market capitalisation of about $260 billion based on the current share price.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Resources Shares

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Here's what moved BHP shares in April

BHP shares managed to slightly outperform the ASX 200 in April.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

One ASX 200 mining stock to buy at 'a significant discount' right now

A leading wealth manager sees significant upside potential for this ASX 200 miner.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Fortescue share price shines as rivals risk $38 billion hit

This iron ore miner might be catching a boost as investors come to terms with a disaster's financial impact.

Read more »

A young woman holds onto her crown as another moves to take it, indicating rival ASX shares
Resources Shares

Can BHP stock regain its dividend crown?

Let’s dig into the passive income potential of this company.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on these 2 ASX 200 mining shares

The broker sees significant valuation differences between these 2 major ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Resources Shares

Lynas share price slides on rare earths revenue headwinds

ASX 200 investors are pressuring the Lynas share price today.

Read more »

Man in yellow hard hat looks through binoculars as man in white hard hat stands behind him and points.
Resources Shares

What stage in the cycle are ASX iron ore shares (and are they a buy)?

Are iron ore miners closer to the end or beginning of the boom-bust cycle?

Read more »

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Resources Shares

Is BHP stock a good long-term investment?

Here's my view on whether the miner is worth owning for the long-term.

Read more »