Here's why the Treasury Wine (ASX:TWE) share price is tipped to outperform

Experts forecast some sparkle to come for the ASX wine company.

| More on:
a young man wearing an open necked shirt and a stylish coat raises a glass of champagne as he smiles.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Treasury Wine Estates share price is edging into the green today 
  • A broker predicts this share could outperform and hit $13.78 
  • The company's share price is more than 4% in the red year to date 

A broker is predicting the Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) share price could make significant gains in the future.

The wine company's shares are currently swapping hands at $11.85, a 0.42% gain. In comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is 1.3% higher at the time of writing.

Let's take a look at why experts recommend this company.

Treasury Wine share price prediction

The team at Citi believes Treasury Wine is a buy with a $13.78 price target. That's nearly 17% more than the current share price.

Citi says Treasury Wine could outperform its expectations in the second half. Citi said industry data shows sales are also shifting from the retail channel to the on-premise channel.

As my Foolish colleague James noted, this could be a huge positive given this channel offers higher margin.

Experts have also recently named Treasury Wine as one of five ASX shares to ride out the 2022 volatility.

WAM Leaders Ltd (ASX: WLE) portfolio manager John Ayoub named the wine company's shares as meeting the "safe haven" definition, as my Foolish colleague Tony reported.

Treasury Wine reported a 7.5% drop in net profit and 6.7% decline in EBITS in its H1 FY22 results. The company was impacted by reduced shipments to mainland China.

However, looking to the future, the company revealed it has shifted its focus from a mindset of 'recovery and restructuring' to one of 'growth and innovation'.

Treasury Wine shares have fallen just over 1% in the past month. The Treasury Wine share price dropped nearly 3% on 2 March alone, ex-dividend day for the company.

Eligible shareholders will receive a fully-franked interim dividend of 15 cents per share on 1 April.

Share price snapshot

The Treasury Wine Estates share price has gained around 7% in the past year, although it is down 4.6% year to date.

For perspective, the benchmark ASX index has returned around 9% in the past year.

Treasury Wine has a market capitalisation of about $8.5 billion based on its current share price.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is the Super Retail share price falling 5% today?

Investors are shying away from the retailer as the company gets ready to go to court.

Read more »

a man in a green and gold Australian athletic kit roars ecstatically with a wide open mouth while his hands are clenched and raised as a shower of gold confetti falls in the sky around him.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

2 ASX betting shares surging on quarterly updates

These shares are having a strong session. Why are investors betting on them today?

Read more »

a young woman sits with her hands holding up her face as she stares unhappily at a laptop computer screen as if she is disappointed with something she is seeing there.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is the Kogan share price crashing 27%?

Here's how this ecommerce company performed during the third quarter.

Read more »

businessman handing $100 note to another in supermarket aisle representing woolworths share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How much could $5,000 invested in Coles shares be worth in a year?

Bell Potter sees big returns on the cards for owners of this stock.

Read more »

A woman relaxes on a yellow couch with a book and cuppa, and looks pensively away as she contemplates the joy of earning passive income.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What are brokers saying about A2 Milk shares?

Is it time to snap up this stock or should you keep your infant formula powder dry?

Read more »

A female Woolworths customer leans on her shopping trolley as she rests her chin in her hand thinking about what to buy for dinner while also wondering why the Woolworths share price isn't doing as well as Coles recently
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Should you buy the dip on Woolworths shares?

Is this a good time to look at the supermarket business?

Read more »

Woman in dress sitting in chair looking depressed
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Cettire share price plunges 6% after major investor pulls the plug

A 'red flag' triggered this investment company to sell out completely.

Read more »

A young woman's hands are shown close up with many blingy gold rings on her fingers and two large gold chains around her neck with dollar signs on them.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

ASX experts: Lovisa share price has 28% upside

ASX brokers are still rating Lovisa as a compelling buy today.

Read more »