The NEXTDC (ASX:NXT) share price is down 5% in a week. Is it a buy?

Is the NEXTDC share price in the buy zone now?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The NEXTDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) share price is out of form on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade, the data centre operator's shares are down 1% to $13.30.

This means the NEXTDC share price is down 5% in the space of a week.

nextdc share price

Image source: Getty Images

Is the NEXTDC share price in the buy zone?

One top broker that believes the NEXTDC share price is good value is Goldman Sachs.

According to a recent note, the broker has a conviction buy rating and $14.40 price target on its shares.

Based on the latest NEXTDC share price, this implies potential upside of 8.3% over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Goldman Sachs was pleased with the company's performance in FY 2021. And while NEXTDC's sales fell a touch short of the broker's forecasts, its earnings were ahead of expectations.

It commented: "NXT reported underlying FY21 Sales/EBITDA/NPAT that was -1.5%/+1.4%/+$1mn vs. GSe, with revenue at the lower end of guidance and EBITDA above the top end, with the revenue weakness attributable to lower zero margin power consumption of $4mn. 2H21 contracted MW of +4.5MW was in line with GSe +4.4MW. Cash conversion was strong, with capex of A$301mn well below GSe & guidance, attributable to covid delays."

The broker was also pleased with its guidance for FY 2022. NEXTDC is expecting revenue growth of 16% to 20% and EBITDA growth of 19% to 23%. Goldman notes that this was largely in line with its forecasts after adjusting for power pricing.

Looking further ahead, its analysts appear confident this strong form can continue, which supports the buy rating it has on the NEXTDC share price.

Goldman is forecasting an EBITDA compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% through to FY 2024. At that point, the broker expects the company's EBITDA to have grown to $232 million. This compares very favourably to FY 2021's EBITDA of $133.9 million.

In light of this, the broker feels NEXTDC represents "the most compelling growth story in our coverage."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of NEXTDC Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Why this quality ASX dividend share is tipped to surge 55%

A leading broker expects this ASX stock could rocket 55% atop paying two annual dividends.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, Reece, and Wesfarmers shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these popular shares this week.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy Origin Energy shares today

A leading analyst expects more outperformance from Origin Energy shares. But why?

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: AGL, Origin Energy, and Woodside shares

Here's what analysts at Shaw and Partners think of these shares.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Life360, Northern Star, and Sigma shares

Are these popular shares buys? Here's how analysts rate them.

Read more »

Business man marking buy on board and underlining it.
Broker Notes

6 ASX All Ords shares elevated to strong buy status after March sell-off

The ASX All Ords fell 8% in March after the US and Israel attacked Iran and oil and gas prices…

Read more »