What is the future for the Santos (ASX:STO) share price?

The company's shares have failed to make significant gains this year…

| More on:
A bald man in a suit puts his hands around a crystal ball as though predictin the future.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price has been treading lower in recent times.

When the company reported its half-year result on 17 August, its shares fell to a new year-to-date low of $5.84. This erased all the gains made over the past 8 months, with Santos shares now down around 5% in 2021.

Yesterday, the Santos share price ended the day at $6.19. It has again fallen in early trade today, down 1.53% to $6.09. In comparison against pre-pandemic levels, Santos shares are down more than 30% from the $9 mark achieved during January 2020.

What's in store for Santos in the second half of FY21?

Santos provided some context for its full-year outlook for the 2021 financial year.

The company is maintaining its sales volume guidance of between 100 mmboe (million barrels of oil equivalent) to 105 mmboe.

Production guidance on the other hand is forecast to be in the range of 87 mmboe to 91 mmboe. The lower second-half production volumes are due to the 25% sell-down in Bayu-Undan and DLNG which was completed in April.

Furthermore, the Santos and Oil Search Ltd (ASX: OSH) merger process is currently underway. Due diligence is being conducted with a binding merger implementation deed targeted for 13 September. Shareholders are due to vote on the proposal in November.

Where next for the Santos share price?

While it seems like a busy second half for the company, a couple of brokers weighed in on the Santos share price.

Analysts at JPMorgan cut its price target by 1.2% to $8.05 for Santos shares. Leading Australian investment house Morgans followed suit, reducing its rating by 0.6% to $8.55 per share.

In addition, Goldman Sachs released a report stating that Santos' half-year result was in line with market expectations.

The multinational broker noted: "Potential for further capital recycling through farm-ins/sell downs as Santos executes on its growth pipeline could be incrementally positive. Santos is leveraged to continued upside risk in oil prices."

Despite the update, Goldman Sachs remained unrated on Santos shares.

Quick summary on Santos shares

Over the past 12 months, the Santos share price has gained just over 20%, which is in line with the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO), up 25%.

Santos commands a market capitalisation of roughly $12.8 billion, with approximately 2 billion shares on its registry.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Energy Shares

A young boy sits on his father's shoulders as they flex their muscles at sunrise on a beach
Energy Shares

1 ASX penny stock I'd buy now while it's only 5 cents

I think this ASX penny stock has outsized growth potential.

Read more »

A woman in jeans and a casual jumper leans on her car and looks seriously at her mobile phone while her vehicle is charged at an electic vehicle recharging station.
Energy Shares

This ASX 200 energy giant just signed an EV charging station deal with Stockland

Investors are feeling electrified by this deal.

Read more »

Smiling woman holding Australian dollar notes in each hand, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

2 ASX passive income shares paying 8% and 13% yields

I think both these high yielding ASX dividend stocks offer long-term passive income potential.

Read more »

A coal miner wearing a red hard hat holds a piece of coal up and gives the thumbs up sign in his other hand
Energy Shares

Whitehaven share price up 20% in 5 weeks. Should you buy?

Are you missing the boat amid the rest of the market re-rating this ASX coal share?

Read more »

Woman refuelling the gas tank at fuel pump, symbolising the Ampol share price.
Energy Shares

What a US$100 oil price would mean for ASX shares and petrol prices

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver explains the impact on petrol prices.

Read more »

nextdc share price
Energy Shares

The surprising reason why Santos shares could benefit from data centres

One fund manager is bullish about Santos for an unexpected reason.

Read more »

Worker inspecting oil and gas pipeline.
Energy Shares

Own Woodside shares? Here's why tomorrow is shaping up to be a big day

Why is Wednesday so important for Woodside shareholders?

Read more »

A female coal miner wearing a white hardhat and orange high-vis vest holds a lump of coal and smiles as the Whitehaven Coal share price rises today
Dividend Investing

Invest $10,000 in New Hope shares and get $1,006 in passive income

Many ASX investors buy New Hope shares for their high yielding, fully franked dividends.

Read more »