How did the Coles (ASX:COL) share price respond last earnings season?

Coles reports its FY21 earnings tomorrow….

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has had a fairly wild day of trading already this Tuesday, even though it's only lunchtime.

At the time of writing, Coles shares are going for $18.34, down 0.86%. However, soon after open today, Coles shares were up to $18.60 at one point. It seems investors are having some difficulties working out what to do with Coles today.

And perhaps fair enough. This supermarket giant reports its full-year earnings for FY2021 tomorrow morning so I'm sure the anticipation is giving some investors itchy fingers today.

So with Coles' earnings just around the corner, it's probably a good time to check out how the Coles share price reacted to its last earnings report that it delivered back in February of this year.

At that time, Coles reported its half-year update on 17 February and it caused quite a stir at the time. Here's a summary of what Coles reported back then:

  • 8% increase in revenues to $20.57 billion
  • Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) rising 12.1% to $1.02 billion
  • Net profits up 14.5% to $560 million.
  • Rise in interim dividend of 10% to 33 cents per share.

Despite the fact that the numbers above point to a successful half-year for Coles, investors didn't share that view. As we reported at the time, the Coles share price was actually hammered after these results were released, falling 6% by mid-afternoon.

By the next day, the Coles share price had lost more than 10%. 10 days later, it was down 15% from where it was pre-earnings.

So what didn't investors like in this earning report?

a woman ponders products on a supermarket shelf while holding a tin in one hand and holding her chin with the other.

Image source: Getty Images

What happened to the Coles share price?

Well, it seems a statement from management about the company's future sales really spooked investors 6 months ago. Here's what Coles management said at the time:

Depending on COVID-19, vaccine roll out and efficacy, and other factors, sales in the supermarket sector may moderate significantly or even decline in the second half of FY21 and into FY22. Coles will be cycling elevated sales from COVID-19 in Supermarkets late in the third quarter, for the remainder of the second half, and most of FY22.

That didn't exactly fill investors with confidence and the Coles share price remained under pressure for some time after this earnings report went public. In fact, the Coles share price didn't recover to its early February levels until around a week ago.

So Coles shareholders will no doubt be hoping for a different reaction from the markets when the company delivers its full-year results tomorrow. It will certainly be interesting to see how management sees the current trading environment for Coles in light of the recent country-wide lockdowns.

At the current Coles share price of $18.34, the company has a market capitalisation of $24.4 billion, a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.3 and a trailing dividend yield of 3.3%, fully franked.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Man on a plane using a laptop with headphones on.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Corporate Travel shares plunge another 9%: Is the worst yet to come?

Corporate Travel looks cheap, but investors still face major unanswered questions.

Read more »

Two shop workers smiling and looking at a laptop surrounded by plants.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

This ASX consumer staples stock is tipped to rise 23%: Expert

This stock is set to rise.

Read more »

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Which ASX CEO stands to make $50 million over the next 5 years, or nothing?

This e-commerce boss is backing his ability to drive returns.

Read more »

A man in a suit face palms at the downturn happening with shares today.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Where does it end? Corporate Travel hit with another blow after crashing 85%

Investors have another issue to weigh after last week’s collapse.

Read more »

A woman sits at her home computer with baby on her lap, and the winning ticket in her hand.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Bubs shares just rocketed 40%. Here's the news investors were waiting for

This ASX stock is soaring after clearing a major hurdle.

Read more »

Frustrated man looking exhausted while sitting at his desk with his laptop and carrying his glasses in his hand.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

This ASX share is down 79%. Is it a buy?

Online furniture shopping still has plenty of room to grow, which keeps me interested after the sharp sell-off.

Read more »

A baby's eyes open wide in surprise as it sucks on a milk bottle.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

This ASX share jumped 7% before a trading halt. What's going on?

A key US update could decide what happens next.

Read more »

Two boys in baskets on skateboards race each along a road.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles vs Woolworths shares: One I'd buy and one I'd sell

Here's the latest between rival supermarkets Woolworths and Coles.

Read more »